Apakah Pola Penjualan FOMC Bitcoin Akhirnya Pecah Minggu Ini?

Bitcoin traders are noticing something uncanny: the price has dropped after literally every Federal Reserve meeting since June. That’s five consecutive FOMC announcements, each followed by a pullback. The question everyone’s asking—is this the last shake before the real move?

The Pattern That Won’t Quit

Here’s what the data shows:

• June 17: BTC crashed from $112K → $102K post-FOMC
• July 29: July gains wiped out same day
• August 22: Corrected back to $104K
• September 18: Another hit after decision
• October 27: Most recent dip to $107.8K (-2% on the day)

Why does this happen? FOMC meetings reshape expectations about Fed policy, risk appetite, and inflation outlook. When the Fed signals hawkish or neutral stance, traders instinctively de-risk from volatile assets like crypto. When they hint at cuts? Short-term pump, then reality check.

The Range-Bound Grind

Bitcoin’s been trading inside a narrow band for four months straight:

• Range: $102K (support) ← → $121K (resistance)
• Lower highs forming = caution, not panic
• Volume: Moderate, no breakout spark yet
• Support holding: $105K is the key level

This sideways action suggests accumulation phase—or traders just waiting for a catalyst.

What Could Trigger the Breakout?

If BTC holds above $105K, a November rally toward $115K–$120K is plausible. The real breakout signal? Closing above $121K with conviction. That would signal the end of this four-month sideways cycle.

The wild card: upcoming U.S. inflation and jobs data. Softer-than-expected numbers = Fed dovishness narrative = institutional capital returns to risk assets. If that narrative shifts, the FOMC selloff pattern could finally break.

Bottom line: Historically, Bitcoin corrects 5-6 times within a broader uptrend before momentum kicks in. We might be at that inflection point now.