LSK shorting strategy

Conclusion (24h)
• Probability of decline: ≈55–60% (more inclined to pull back and digest).
• Strategy: Focus on shorting at highs, or shorting again after a pullback below key levels; strict stop-loss, do not chase positions at mid-levels.

Key price level
• Resistance: 0.348–0.356 (38.2% retracement) | 0.379–0.395 (23.6% retracement + integer level) | 0.41–0.43 (today's high range)
• Support: 0.323 (50% retracement) | 0.297–0.300 (61.8%) | 0.261–0.265 (78.6%) | 0.218–0.222 (24h low range)

two sets of operations

A｜shorting at high (speculating on a pullback)
• Entry 1: 0.348–0.356;
• Entry 2 (only a small increase in position once): 0.379–0.395;
• Unified Stop Loss: ≥0.442 (above the 0.43 high point to prevent stop loss);
• Take profit in batches: 0.323 → 0.300 → 0.265 → 0.222 (reduce positions by 30%/30%/30%/10% at each level).

B｜Break below and pull back to short (safer)
• Trigger: First effectively break below 0.323;
• Entry: Short if it fails to hold above 0.323, open short between 0.318–0.323;
• Stop Loss: 0.336;
• Take Profit: 0.300 / 0.265 / 0.222 gradually close out.

Margin replenishment and risk control
• You can only add to your position once, and the total position should not exceed 1.5 times the initial amount; if the volume on the 15m chart breaks above 0.395 or directly re-tests 0.41–0.43, do not add, only reduce.
• Leverage ≤ 25x, single transaction risk ≤ 1% of net worth. Example: Plan A enters at 0.360, stops at 0.442, risk = 0.082; if willing to lose 1%, then
Position = Account Net Value × 1% / 0.082.
• If the 15m/1h continuously increases in volume and stabilizes above 0.395, with the funding rate significantly turning positive and OI rising simultaneously, the shorting disadvantage is evident, prioritize reducing positions/watching.
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