2025-12-22 06:21:57

#数字资产市场洞察 Can Ethereum break through as scheduled in 1 hour?

After watching the market for a few years, I want to share an observation - the current bullish signals for Ethereum are not determined by a single technical aspect, but rather by multiple factors acting simultaneously.

First, let's look at the K-line itself. After breaking out of the triangle convergence area on the 1-hour chart, the moving averages show a beautiful bullish arrangement, the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, and the price is running close to the upper band. The MACD is even more interesting—there has been a second volume increase above the zero axis, and this kind of acceleration structure was also seen in previous rebounds. The 3060-3100 range is the key resistance area ahead, and if there is a volume-price combination breakthrough, the possibility of directly seeing 3180 or even 3250 above is very high.

What is more noteworthy is the on-chain reaction. In the past 24 hours, approximately 120,000 Ether has flowed out of the exchanges, which is considerable; at the same time, the number of whale addresses holding over 10,000 Ether has increased by 7. In simple terms—large funds are quietly accumulating. The on-chain Gas fees are also slightly rising, and network activity is warming up, which is often a signal before demand kicks in.

The news front also has support. There is an expectation for updates on Ethereum ETF-related documents, and although the market often "hypes expectations and kills facts," the custody data from institutions has already shown that funds are slowly entering the market. Additionally, the locked value in DeFi protocols has been recovering during this time, and the Layer 2 ecosystem hasn't cooled down, all of which adds imagination to the fundamentals.

How do I see it? A short-term return to 3000-3020 would be a good accumulation zone, and the trend itself hasn't changed. If it really stabilizes above 3060, my plan is to follow up after the breakout, with a target set at 3180. To be safe, I will exit if it falls below 2980.

Trading ultimately comes down to calculating probabilities. Now that several dimensions of signals are leaning towards the bulls, let's give it a little patience and see how far it can go. $ETH

ETH0,48%

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fomo_fighter

· 2025-12-23 19:49

Whales are hoarding, I want to hoard too, just don't have money haha

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ArbitrageBot

· 2025-12-22 06:52

Whales are hoarding again, but this time it's different, on-chain data is really speaking. --- Whether 3060 breaks is key, I'm betting it will, and let's see if it can touch 3180. --- Large funds are sneaking in, I've smelled this before, history always has its patterns. --- The DeFi lock-up position is indeed worth watching, it's not as lifeless as it was some time ago. --- The expectations for ETF are like this, once the speculation rises, it gets smashed, an old routine, but there are indeed institutions waiting. --- In the short term, buying in at 3000-3020 is what I did too, stop loss at 2980 is solid. --- The MACD's second higher trade volumes is interesting, it has indeed moved up after doing this before. --- To put it bluntly, it's just a probability game, with so many long positions signals, not betting would be a loss. --- Gas fees are quietly rising, network activity is warming up, this is the real signal, not misleading. --- Whales with holdings exceeding ten thousand have increased again, these people are more foresighted than institutions.

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GateUser-1a2ed0b9

· 2025-12-22 06:51

Whales are hoarding, on-chain data speaks, this wave is quite interesting.

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ProposalManiac

· 2025-12-22 06:42

The accumulation of long position signals can indeed easily get one carried away, but this framework of "on-chain data + technical analysis + news analysis"... to be honest, it relies too much on institutional funds' "secretly hoarding". Historical lessons are evident - we have seen similar narratives of large capital entering the market at the end of 2017 and 2021, and what was the result? The key is still to look at the **consensus strength** at the 3060 threshold, not just whether it breaks. Breaking doesn’t mean it can hold; if it can’t hold, it’s a false breakout, and then we have to tell a new story. From a mechanism design perspective - if this wave of long positions is to truly continue, there must be new incremental demand to "incentivize" the market to move up; just the signal of Whale hoarding is too weak. Let’s wait and see if 3180 can become the new consensus price; we can discuss trends then.

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IntrovertMetaverse

· 2025-12-22 06:22

Whales are hoarding, institutions are also entering the market, this time feels a bit different --- If 3060 can't break, we still have to look at the volume later, just afraid it will be another false breakout --- On-chain data is so solid, much more reliable than Candlestick charts --- The saying "ETF speculates expectations and kills facts" is too spot on, I directly admit defeat --- Wait until it returns to 3000 to buy, no rush --- What does it matter if whales increase the position in 7 Addresses, we need to see how they finally sell off --- Gas fees rising is the real signal, more reliable than any MACD

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