# Bees

#比特币流动性 【Trading Review: Practical Application of Conservative Strategies in a Bear Market】 Recently, I revisited a trading logic — honestly, many people’s pursuit of high win rates has become a burden. Instead of greedily full-positioning, it’s better to stick to a simple and straightforward approach: emotional isolation, mechanical execution, and not being disturbed by price fluctuations.
The core of this method? It’s stability. Win rates can exceed 90%, but the cost is strict position control — in a bull market, you might watch others chase highs and earn more, which can be uncomfortable. In a bear market, however, it’s like a fish in water, especially in the current market conditions.
Taking Bitcoin as an example, before the 6-hour K-line lower band is broken, it’s a patience-and-waiting-for-stability phase. No need for advanced techniques; just sit calmly and wait for clear signals. There are pros and cons, but the risk is controllable — this is the key to long-term survival.
This is exactly the flavor of the current market.

Look at all these dojis on $ETH. Just terrible PA.

Ethereum Short-Term Trend Observation
On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum's technical outlook continues the same approach as yesterday—maintaining a neutral stance for now. The current price level does not meet my trading system requirements, and there is not enough certainty for either long or short positions, so I choose to stay on the sidelines for the time being.
The key entry opportunity is here: if Ethereum can pull back and stabilize within the support zone of 2900-2870, then the long entry becomes clearer. Conversely, if it directly pushes upward, I will focus on whether it can effectively break through the 3050 resistance level. Whether the breakout is genuine or false, the market will provide the answer. That will be the next decision point for my actions.

#战略性加仓BTC Why have your accounts been shrinking all day despite watching the market? It might not be a technical issue at all.
I've seen many people stay up late every day monitoring the market, never putting their phone down. And what’s the result? Most of their profits are eaten up by fees, and they end up feeling exhausted all the time. Conversely, those seemingly lazy professional traders might only actively trade for 1-2 hours a day, yet their accounts steadily grow. What’s the difference?
**Master these three time periods, and your efficiency can double**
The first 10-15 minutes after the market opens are the most critical. The first thing professional traders do isn’t rushing to look at the market, but quickly reviewing overnight policy movements and global market fluctuations. Then, they write down today’s plan clearly: "What signals to enter, at what decline to cut, at what rise to take profits." Post it on the screen.
What about retail traders? They open their charts as soon as they wake up, impulsively trade at the opening price, and their emotions are completely tied to the market.
The key during trading hours is—less action. Don’t rush in the first 30 minutes after opening; observe how the market sentiment develops. If your plan isn’t triggered, sit back and have some tea. Wait until the conditions are right before making a move. Reject any urges to "add positions out of boredom" or "chase high impulsively." Keep each trade’s loss within 2% of your total account balance.
Most retail traders? When the K-line moves, they click their mouse immediately. Over a day, the fees could have paid for a whole shop.
The real battleground is actually after the market closes. Professional traders review each trade: Why did they enter? Did they follow the plan? Were they influenced by messages in the group? Then simulate extreme market conditions—what if a black swan appears? Can your current holdings withstand it? Practice the rhythm of cutting losses in advance. Finally, record this week’s win rate, profit-loss ratio, and maximum drawdown in a table, using data to control the illusion of luck in your mind.
What about retail traders? They close the software and watch short videos, then repeat the cycle the next day.
**Change your approach**
Set aside 15 minutes every morning to plan, and focus only on 3 or fewer targets. During the day, set a half-hour alarm to remind yourself: "Is my current operation still within the plan?" In the evening at 8 PM, review what was your most impulsive trade today. If you make the same mistake three days in a row, stop trading that day.
The market itself isn’t scary; what’s frightening is reacting casually against human nature’s routines and the market’s laws. The boundary between professional and amateur isn’t about how accurate your market judgment is, but whether you’re willing to engrain boring discipline into your muscles.

❗10am manipulation activated again.
🕔 9:30 AM US market opens
➡️Bitcoin jumped $2,865, from $87,500 to $90,365 in just 30 minutes.
➡️ Around $80B added to crypto market
➡️ Around $106 million worth of shorts liquidated within 30 minutes.
🕔 10:00 AM
The manipulation starts
➡️ Bitcoin dropped $4,000, from $90,365 to $86,300 in the next 90 minutes.
➡️ Around $130B erased from total market cap.
➡️ Around $150M in longs liquidated within 1 hour.
Same sequence. Same timing.

Ethereum's price action is currently hugging the 1x1 macro Gann angle line quite closely. This classic technical setup deserves attention from traders watching medium to long-term trends. The Gann angle serves as a key resistance/support dynamic—when price threads along it like this, you're essentially watching a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers at a mathematically significant level. Break above and you're looking at fresh momentum; fail to hold and the next Gann level down becomes your watch point. Worth keeping eyes on how ETH respects this line in the coming sessions.

The notion that cryptocurrency markets follow predictable patterns has captivated traders for years. Proponents of cycle theory argue that beneath the apparent chaos of digital asset price movements lies an underlying pattern—similar to natural phenomena like tides or seasonal shifts. While

Kind of how it is.
The fact that Silver & Platinum move are quite similar to Ethereum & Altcoins breaking out (moving further on the risk curve).
It’s very likely to expect the commodities to stall and crypto to move ahead.

12.18 Thursday midday market analysis. ETH has experienced recent intense market volatility, with macro events such as CPI data and the Bank of Japan's decision exacerbating price fluctuations. Whale holdings indicate high risk, with significant pressure near liquidation prices, and key technical support levels are under scrutiny. Although there is potential for a rebound, market sentiment remains bearish, and holding risks are high. Investors should carefully manage their positions, avoid high leverage exposure, and monitor tonight's data releases to mitigate chain liquidation risks. Contract traders should prioritize swing trading rather than long-term holding, waiting for clearer trends before taking action.
ETH trading suggestions: Buy around 2800, take profit at 2880-2950, stop loss at 2730; Sell at 2900-2950, take profit at 2830-2780, stop loss at 3050.

will eth break 4000$ in 2 months