Recent trading thoughts - Accepting the losses that were supposed to happen.
In the long journey of trading, what needs to be clarified the most may not be how to make a profit, but how to correctly view the losses that are bound to come.
Most of these are not mistakes, but rather inevitabilities.
When you enter the planned pullback area after confirming a turn at a certain level according to the rules, but encounter an adjustment that is too deep; or when you decisively follow a breakout, but the market immediately reverses and knocks you out — these losses are clearly labeled: "system losses

In a Bear Market, waiting for a Rebound to exit, and in a bull run, waiting for a pullback to enter, this mindset is not advisable! If you have this mentality, you basically won't make any money. Let me give my buddy an example: in a Bear Market, if you bought Bitcoin with 100,000 USD to catch a falling knife, and it dropped to 50,000 USD, thinking you would wait for it to rebound before exiting, you will generally end up waiting until it hits a 50% Slump, getting trapped deeper and deeper until you don't want to look at your account anymore. And in a bull run, when it was 60,000 USD,

Now, if you casually open a once-popular altcoin, you will see that it is making new lows from the monthly chart perspective. If we look purely from the Candlestick perspective, alts definitely seem to have lost all hope. However, this market often flourishes in desperate times; when no one sees hope, the dawn of hope will emerge.

Gold hits new highs, silver hits new highs, A-shares and US stocks rebound close to historical highs.
Currently, only the cryptocurrency market is still down. Although the crypto world has entered a bear market, there will still be a rebound coming up, because I believe we are currently only in the mid-stage of the bear market, and the first phase of the decline has ended. The market will not trend downward over the next two months; instead, it will likely experience wide fluctuations. Therefore, in the next month or two, $BTC is expected to rise in a volatile manner. If one must short, the r

This bull run is completely different from previous bull runs, characterized by a significant reduction in fluctuation. The past scenario of rapid rise and fall is gone, replaced by a steady upward rhythm. After rising, there won't be a quick pullback, but rather a period of sideways consolidation, as if waiting for further confirmation of the trend before continuing to rise. Conversely, if the market falls, there won't be the past rapid rebound, but rather a slow adjustment without significant ups and downs.
In such a market, relying on chao to touch the top may not earn much money, b

Recent trading thoughts - Accepting losses that should have happened.
On the long journey of trading, what needs to be clarified the most may not be how to profit, but how to correctly view the losses that are bound to come.
Most of these are not mistakes, but rather inevitable occurrences.
When you enter the planned pullback area after confirming a turn at a certain level according to the rules, only to encounter a deeper adjustment; or when you decisively follow a breakout, but the market quickly reverses, throwing you out of the game—these losses are clearly labeled: "in-system losses".
The

I don't understand why so many people are so pessimistic about $ETH .
Looking at the entire crypto market, the only ones that can still let you sleep peacefully in extreme situations are $BTC and $ETH , the third one basically doesn't exist.
BTC represents consensus and underlying trust, ETH represents technology and application ecosystem. You don't need to bet on the direction, just on whether the entire industry can survive.
If one day Ethereum is truly eliminated by the times, the conclusion will be very clear: it's not a failure of a certain project, but that the "technology-driven crypto

After more than a decade of large-scale demolition and construction in China, you'll notice that all cities have become the same: one Wanda Plaza + one Wuyue Plaza. Next to the plazas, there are always these stores: xx Duck Neck + Mixue Bingcheng + Luckin Coffee.
Newly built communities like Country Garden, Vanke, Poly, China Overseas, China Resources, and Greentown are distributed on both sides.
Downstairs are uniform pharmacies, Meiyijia supermarkets, Barbie Mantou, Sha County Snacks, Lanzhou Hand-Pulled Noodles. In places with open space, elderly men and women push strollers and walk their

If this is your first time experiencing a bull market, these tips are crucial:
1. During a bull market, every sharp decline is an opportunity to buy, especially the typical post-holiday pullback, which is a good entry point.
2. Hold onto your coins and avoid frequent rebalancing, especially when your coins haven't appreciated. Just hold them.
3. Don't invest in only one coin; diversify across popular sectors and focus on leading projects. For example, AI, MEME, payments, RWA, U.S. public chains, and BTC ecosystem.
4. Take profits promptly, keep some cash for flying, and add to your positions a

Let me share my three criteria for choosing altcoins in the future
In Web3, there's an unspoken but rarely challenged truth: many tokenomics and what the projects are actually doing are basically two different things.
Various DEX tokens, like UNI, 1inch, COW, CAKE, and so on. Many people instinctively think that the more users and the higher the trading volume, the more valuable the token. But in reality, the protocol's earnings have little to do with the tokens you hold. Holding them at most gives you a "symbolic" governance right, in other words, just a token of influence. Recently, Uniswap

Talk about $ETH 's trend
Currently, from weekly and monthly charts, the structure is quite clear. The market is forming a relatively standard head and shoulders bottom. The left shoulder is around 2100, then the head was formed, and now the right shoulder is retracing but has not broken below the left shoulder's low point. This itself is a strong signal. As long as the neckline is effectively broken later, the head and shoulders bottom pattern is considered confirmed.
So if you bought ETH below 2000, honestly, there's no need to worry every day. Just hold it; the structure is in your favor. On

The highest level of investing is not to sell. Once you get a once-in-a-lifetime asset, you must hold on tight.
There have been countless crashes and halving events in Coca-Cola's history over the past 100 years. Selling Coca-Cola at any time would be foolish.
Of course, how do you know you're holding a stock like Coca-Cola and not PetroChina?
That depends on your skill. Maybe you bought PetroChina and mistakenly held it as if it were Coca-Cola, which is entirely your own lack of vision. Buying stocks is like buying antiques; truly good stocks are as rare as genuine antiques, all depending on

Recently, many friends in the crypto circle have had their mentality collapse, with the top 50 altcoins trading below their prices after the 2022 FTX crash.
BTC, ETH, and SOL have also returned to December 2024 levels.
Many people have almost made no profit in this cycle, and now they are rushing to recover their losses.
Does the four-year cycle still work?
If you believe in the "four-year cycle," we've actually already passed the 18-month mark; logically, the peak should be around here. But the market feels completely different.
Old models are collapsing, and new rules haven't been

Talk about $ETH 's trend
Currently, from weekly and monthly charts, the structure is quite clear. The market is forming a relatively standard head and shoulders bottom. The left shoulder is around 2100, then the head was formed, and now the right shoulder is retracing but has not broken below the left shoulder's low point. This itself is a strong signal. As long as the neckline is effectively broken later, the head and shoulders bottom pattern is considered confirmed.
So if you bought ETH below 2000, honestly, there's no need to worry every day. Just hold it; the structure is in your favor. On

China's Bitcoin "Gray Empire" Strikes a Heavy Blow!
The crypto world is once again turbulent! Just as $BTC 's price hovers above $85,000 and teeters on the edge, a sudden "Mining Destruction Storm" sweeps through Xinjiang, China—all local Bitcoin mining farms shut down overnight! In just two days, the global network hash rate plummeted by nearly 30%! This catastrophic, cliff-like decline has set the record for the most severe single hash rate contraction since the 2024 halving.
Xinjiang, once known as the "Underground Kingdom" of Bitcoin mining, secretly contributed a significant share of the

What is the core logic of trading profits?
It's the trend, the big trend,
Making big money depends on the big trend.
Big trend earns big money,
Small trend earns small money.
When the trend comes, do whatever to make money,
When the trend doesn't come, all efforts are in vain.
Don't open positions without seeing the trend,
Don't add positions without seeing profits.
In trading, get used to making big money,
Running away with small profits is a serious problem.
The strongest bull and the weakest bear,
Trading is just that simple.
Keep the method as simple as possible,

Take a look at the current mainstream coin market
The one with the greatest potential for growth is ZEC
The one with the highest certainty is BTC
The most balanced risk-reward ratio is ETH
The most explosive but unstable is SOL
The one that has entered the mature stage is BNB

Many people ask me where to bottom out on scam coins.
Honestly, I don't know either, but I have a method for everyone to consider. Just look near the needle of the 1011 Black Swan, and if it floats up by 10%, you can consider trying to bottom out and rebound. For example, a few typical altcoins: $ENA around 0.1313, $DOGE around 0.095, $ADA around 0.27, LINK around 7.9. These points, with a 10% upward adjustment, are acceptable because the 1011 Black Swan market cannot place orders to support the market. These needle points might reflect the true value of these altcoins. Of course, the whale

The stock market is the best place to see yourself clearly.
Chasing highs is because you can't contain greed, and panicking during declines is because you can't suppress fear. You're willing to go all-in simply because of your inherent gambling nature, and holding on tightly during deep drawdowns is because you refuse to admit your failure.
Maybe every one of your trades bears the imprint of your character, and every profit or loss accurately reflects the cause-and-effect of your cognition. When your trading frequency gradually decreases, and you can calm your mind to patiently wait for th

She is not abandoned
She is one step at a time, sending herself away
On the day the relationship truly collapsed, there was no argument, only one message.
“What are you doing?”
He didn’t reply, not because he was busy, but because he was not in a hurry.
She stared at the screen, her heartbeat faster than the candlestick chart, so she added:
“I miss you so much.”
This is not a declaration of love; it’s the first shot of panic.
There is a cruel resonance effect in the crypto world.
When the market drops, people start to panic;
When people panic, relationships begin to add to their positions.
She