The US stock market has "crashed," with a decline so significant that investors familiar with it are exclaiming they "don't recognize it"; this deep adjustment, long anticipated by the market, has ultimately landed with a fierce posture. Even more concerning than the plummeting indexes is the escalating crisis of a government shutdown in the United States—last night, Senate negotiations once again declared a failure, and the duration of the shutdown is rapidly approaching the historical record of 35 days. If surpassed, it will set a new record for the most "embarrassing" situation in American politics.



The government shutdown is never a gimmick for attention, but a "systemic risk" that can trigger real chain reactions: hundreds of thousands of federal employees are forced to be on unpaid leave, national public services and infrastructure projects come to a complete standstill, and the already fragile market confidence is repeatedly strangled. The recent sharp decline in the U.S. stock market and the collective bloodbath in the cryptocurrency space are the most direct market responses to this crisis, with global capital passively footing the bill for America's political "infighting."

Digging deep into the roots of the crisis, the core contradiction has long been clear: the treasury funds are on the verge of emergency, and the scale of government debt remains high and difficult to reduce, yet the two parties are still deadlocked on key issues such as the budget and immigration, showing no willingness to compromise. This is not a fictional plot from a financial novel, but a real financial turbulence unfolding before global investors.

What investors should pay close attention to is that, unlike the correlation logic of the US stock market and traditional financial markets, the cryptocurrency market has a unique attribute of being a "leading indicator"—historical data clearly shows that its peaks or troughs often occur earlier than those of the US stock market. In the current cross-market turmoil, this characteristic may provide key references for investors to judge market turning points.
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