#加密生态动态追踪 $BTC I’d like to hear everyone’s thoughts. On the 19th, Japan announced its interest rate adjustment—will the market crash immediately? It seems many people are waiting for this news.

I looked into the history: in March 2024, Japan finally abandoned negative interest rates. On the day of the rate hike, Bitcoin dropped 8%, but quickly stabilized, then oscillated sideways. In July, when rates went from 0 to 0.25%, Bitcoin plummeted from 65,000 to 49,000, a 30% cut, looking dead or alive. But that story changed later; a subsequent rally broke new highs. Looking at the January 24 rate hike, from 0.25% to 0.5%, Bitcoin shook for three days, retraced 8%, then the US stock market continued upward with little risk.

Will this trigger a big drop or a crash? Honestly, I think the probability is low. Why? The market’s expectations for rate hikes have already been priced in through various channels, even retail investors know what’s going on. Major institutions have already prepared defenses. Just look at Bitcoin’s movement from 116,000 down to 80,000—market reactions were preemptive. So even if there’s some adjustment after the rate hike, we can still find opportunities in mainstream assets.

My personal view is that this is a good time to build a position at the bottom, but avoid high leverage. Spot trading or low leverage is safer. Recently, Bitcoin might still test around $10,000; everyone should prepare for a bottom-fishing opportunity, but remember to control risks and not gamble your life away.

What do you think? After this round of volatility, will new opportunities emerge? $ETH