2025-12-15 09:21:18

Many people's logic right now is straightforward: every major dip in the crypto market has historically been a golden opportunity. Based on the pattern of the past 10 years, it should now be a bottom signal, and increasing positions to go long is the proper course of action.

But there's a key issue worth pondering—does the four-year cycle pattern still hold? Is it possible that this market reaction will be completely different this time, not following the old script?

Thinking from a more extreme perspective, could the market first experience a 90% crash and then enter a long-term sideways trend? While such a scenario is rare in history, it’s not entirely impossible. No matter how solid previous assumptions were, if the fundamentals change, these assumptions may need to be re-evaluated.

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FrontRunFighter

· 2025-12-18 01:13

ngl the 4-year cycle copium is exactly how they trap retail. everyone watching the same patterns means the patterns break, that's game theory 101. manipulation layer on top of manipulation... dark forest never stops

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GovernancePretender

· 2025-12-17 13:11

Bro, this theory has long since gone bankrupt. You can't rely on historical patterns. A 90% crash directly leads to sideways trading? We'll just wait and see; anyway, those who cut losses won't even be able to cry at the end. That said, the fundamentals have indeed changed. Using formulas from ten years ago to analyze now is just asking for trouble. Adding positions? I think we should observe first and then decide. Don't be fooled by a few rebounds. The cycle theory is really outdated. The market has never played by the rules...

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DataBartender

· 2025-12-15 17:18

90% crash? Man, your imagination is pretty wild, but honestly, the four-year cycle is a bit questionable now. After institutions entered the market, the market logic completely changed.

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MetaDreamer

· 2025-12-15 09:47

Brother, the concept of historical patterns is somewhat reliable and somewhat not... I'm truly impressed that some still dare to go all-in now. A 4-year cycle? Ha, maybe this time it's a new story. A 90% crash with long-term sideways movement sounds pretty scary... but it's not impossible. Seeing a screen full of comments about adding positions, it feels like everyone is playing a big game, betting that the fundamentals haven't changed... to bet or not to bet on this round.

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YieldWhisperer

· 2025-12-15 09:47

The old script no longer works, this time it's truly different Damn, it's the people adding positions again, the 4-year cycle is long outdated A 90% crash into sideways trading, who dares to bet on this When the historical pattern breaks down, the timid should have already liquidated The fundamentals have changed, everything else is pointless, those still copying historical bottoms deserve to be hammered

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FlashLoanPrince

· 2025-12-15 09:46

Reliable analysis, honestly, the four-year cycle is definitely a question mark for this old-fashioned set. --- 90% crash and long-term sideways movement? I think it's possible, but don't be too arrogant. --- Think carefully before adding positions; this time might not be a replay of the old script. --- If the fundamentals change, the pattern is broken. That hits the mark. --- To those still using old tricks, all I can say is good luck. --- It feels like everyone is betting on the bottom; only those who guess correctly will succeed. --- Rare in history does not mean impossible; risk awareness must be at its maximum. --- Is this crash really an opportunity, or a trap? No one can say for sure. --- Got it, don't blindly follow the four-year cycle; it depends on what kind of hand we have this year.

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ContractTester

· 2025-12-15 09:29

Ha, coming back with the "history will repeat itself" argument again, give it a rest. This time truly different. A 90% crash, I’d like to see that. Anyway, those who are entering now are all gambler mentality; if it needs to be cleared out, just clear it. The规律 has long been broken; stop using the 4-year cycle as the Bible. The market has already changed. I just remembered, a brother once added to his position this way, and he’s still stuck in it now. Can’t smile about that. Making rash judgments without understanding the fundamentals is the easiest way to fall into traps. Rather than waiting for the bottom, it’s better to wait until the fundamentals truly stabilize. Entering now is just gambling. This cycle feels a bit off; the grinding process seems a little strange.

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