A recent interesting phenomenon has emerged in the financial markets: the US GDP growth in Q3 exceeded expectations. It should have been good news, but the stock market did not rise as expected; instead, it experienced volatility. The underlying logic is actually not complicated—whenever economic data improves, the market begins to worry that the central bank will raise interest rates, turning good news into a negative.



How to break this "good news but no rise" cycle? Some believe that strong economic performance does not necessarily trigger inflation; the key lies in policy direction. Instead of tightening policies to curb market gains, it’s better to let the market operate normally in a positive environment, where natural rises and falls are healthy.

From a policy perspective, the current consensus seems to be shifting. Inflationary pressures can actually be gradually alleviated through market self-regulation, without relying on aggressive tightening policies. Moderate rate hikes when necessary are acceptable, but the goal should be to stabilize expectations, not artificially suppress market growth.

These views have a significant impact on the new central bank decision-makers. The market needs policymakers whose thinking aligns with their policies, rather than officials who insist on old methods of suppression. The market is waiting for a new policy paradigm—a balance point that can address economic challenges without overly interfering with normal market operations.
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ColdWalletGuardianvip
· 4h ago
It's the same old story. Good news ends up causing a sell-off. The central bank's words are always taken as gospel. When GDP is strong, they fear rate hikes; when GDP is weak, they fear recession. When will this cycle end? Waiting for a new central bank governor? Don't be ridiculous. It's the same old approach, just a different face. Policies have never truly loosened. Market self-regulation? Sure, just listen to that. In the end, the central bank still calls the shots. The key is that no one dares to truly let go. Is it the market or control? Pick one.
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LiquidatedDreamsvip
· 4h ago
Coming back with this again? When GDP is good, they raise interest rates; when interest rates go up, it crashes again, repeatedly harvesting retail investors. Honestly, the central bank just wants to control us, under the guise of maintaining stable expectations. When will we see real monetary easing? It's just to pump up prices and sell off, nothing new. Policy consistency? That's a joke, it has never existed.
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0xLuckboxvip
· 4h ago
Honestly, this set of logic has long been outdated. The formula of good data = rate hike expectations needs to be revised. If the central bank really wants to rescue the market, don't pretend—just flood the market with liquidity. Hesitation is the most annoying. Waiting for a new paradigm? It's still about who has more money and who calls the shots. Good GDP is good news; forcing ourselves to scare ourselves is truly incredible. I heard they are changing the new decision-making team, so let's see if they can deliver some real actions. Policy shifts? I've seen too many, and in the end, it's still the same old tricks. Market self-regulation? Forget it, it still relies on policies. No one trusts the market these days. If you ask me, just lie flat and relax. Why bother with all this fuss?
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GateUser-e19e9c10vip
· 4h ago
Basically, it's the central bank messing up. Good news can be turned into bad news, who can stand that? GDP is good, but the expectation of interest rate cuts is gone. The logic is a complete mess. Let's wait for the new decision-making team. Hopefully, they can think differently. Right now, the market is just guessing the central bank's intentions. It's too exhausting. When will this strange phenomenon in the circle be broken... I really can't understand. Good news turning into negative, it's purely absurd. We still have to rely on market self-regulation, not just thinking about interest rate hikes to suppress. We need a more enlightened central bank official.
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