Will Gold Price Surge in the Coming Days? 2024-2026 Forecast & Trading Strategies Explained

The Big Picture: Where Will Gold Price Go?

Here’s the thing about gold prices in 2024-2025-2026—everyone’s asking the same question: will gold price increase in coming days? Short answer? Yeah, most analysts say yes. But let me break down why.

As of mid-2024, gold is trading around $2,441 per ounce, up over $500 compared to a year ago. That’s a massive jump. The Federal Reserve’s recent pivot toward interest rate cuts (they dropped 50 basis points in September 2024) is basically printing money for gold lovers. When rates fall, gold becomes the go-to safe haven asset.

Why Is Gold Going Crazy Right Now?

The mainstream view: weak US dollar + falling interest rates = higher gold prices. Simple math.

But there’s more nuance. Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Palestine) are pushing oil prices up, which signals potential inflation. Inflation eats cash, so investors flee to gold. Meanwhile, central banks worldwide—especially China and India—are aggressively stockpiling gold. When the big players buy, prices follow.

Current market sentiment? According to trading platforms, about 20% of traders are bullish on gold while 80% are sitting on the sidelines waiting for a correction. This suggests the market isn’t fully convinced yet, which could mean either a breakout or a pullback is coming.

Breaking Down the Gold Price Timeline (2019-2024)

To predict where gold price will go, you need to understand where it’s been:

2019: Fed cut rates + global economic uncertainty = 19% gain. Gold was the safe haven trade back then.

2020: COVID-19 crashed everything, then stimulus packages inflated. Gold jumped 25% in just one year, hitting $2,072 in August before settling around $1,800.

2021: Central banks got aggressive with rate hikes to fight inflation. US dollar strengthened 7% that year. Result? Gold fell 8%, stuck between $1,700-$1,900.

2022: The worst year for gold in a decade. Fed raised rates 7 times, pushing the dollar higher. Gold crashed to $1,618 (down 21% from peak). But by December, recession fears kicked in and gold recovered to $1,823.

2023: This was the inflection point. Fed stopped hiking. Israel-Palestine conflict erupted. Gold reached an all-time high of $2,150. Investors were rotating hard into precious metals.

2024 (First Half): Gold exploded. Started at $2,041 in January, briefly dipped to $1,991 in February, then surged to a record $2,472 by April. This is where we are now, hovering around $2,441.

Will Gold Price Increase Further? Here’s What the Experts Say

Let’s talk predictions because this is what actually matters for traders:

JP Morgan: Gold hits $2,300+ in 2025 Bloomberg Terminal: Range of $1,709-$2,728 in 2025 (wide range, but upside bias) CoinPriceForecast: Gold breaks $2,700 by 2026

The consensus? Higher highs are coming. The key catalyst is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cutting cycle. CME’s FedWatch tool showed a 63% probability of another 50bp cut recently (up from 34% just a week prior).

2025 Outlook: Geopolitical instability + rate cuts + central bank buying = potential $2,400-$2,600 range 2026 Outlook: If inflation stabilizes and rates normalize to 2-3%, gold could hit $2,600-$2,800 as a long-term store of value

How to Analyze Gold Price Like a Pro

If you’re going to trade gold, you need tools. Here are the ones that actually work:

Technical Analysis - MACD Indicator MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) tells you when momentum is shifting. It uses 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it’s usually a buy signal. When it crosses below, that’s a sell signal. Gold traders live by this.

Momentum Check - RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI measures overbought/oversold conditions on a 0-100 scale:

• Above 70 = overbought (potential sell)
• Below 30 = oversold (potential buy)

On a 14-day timeframe, these are standard levels. But you can tweak them for different trading periods. Pro tip: Use RSI divergence signals—when price makes a new high but RSI doesn’t, that’s often a reversal warning.

Market Positioning - COT Report The Commitment of Traders (CME) report shows what commercial hedgers, large speculators, and small speculators are doing. Released every Friday at 3:30 p.m. EST. If the big money is buying, small traders usually follow. Track the money flow, predict the trend.

Fundamental Driver - US Dollar Strength This is inverse to gold. Strong dollar = weak gold. Weak dollar = strong gold. Monitor US economic data (non-farm payrolls, employment, GDP) because these drive dollar movement. Also watch the “Gofo rate” (gold forward offered rate)—when it rises relative to dollar rates, gold demand is picking up.

Demand Side: Who’s Actually Buying?

• Technology industry (gold is used in electronics)
• Jewelry makers (still the biggest consumer)
• ETFs and investment funds (paper gold ownership)
• Central banks (the real driver in 2023-2024)

Central bank gold purchases hit record levels in 2023, nearly matching 2022’s record buying. This official sector demand combined with jewelry consumption offset ETF outflows. Translation: institutional buyers are all-in on gold.

Supply Constraint: Mines Getting Exhausted Here’s a lesser-known factor: easy-to-access gold deposits are running out. New mining operations require deeper digging, higher costs, lower yields. Economics 101 says higher production costs + lower supply = higher prices. This structural support is bullish for gold long-term.

Practical Trading Tips for Gold in 2024-2025

1. Pick Your Investment Timeframe

• Long-term physical gold: For buy-and-hold investors who think gold will continue climbing
• Short-term derivatives (futures/CFDs): For traders looking to capitalize on daily/weekly moves with leverage

2. Timing Matters

• Long-term buyers: January-June typically sees softer gold prices, so that’s your buying window
• Short-term traders: Only enter when gold shows a clear trending structure, not in choppy sideways action

3. Position Sizing Don’t go all-in. Allocate 10-30% of your portfolio based on conviction level and market clarity. Even professionals diversify.

4. Use Leverage Wisely New traders shouldn’t use 1:10 or 1:20 leverage. Start with 1:2 to 1:5. Learn the feel before you blow up your account.

5. Always Use Stop Loss In derivatives trading, set stops 20-50 pips below your entry. Use trailing stops to lock in profits when gold is in a strong uptrend. Risk management separates winners from gamblers.

The Real Talk: Should You Buy Gold Now?

Okay, here’s my take. Will gold price increase in coming days? Probably, but not in a straight line.

Short-term: Consolidation is likely. Gold tested $2,440+ and pulled back. It’s digesting these extreme moves.

Medium-term (next 6-12 months): The path is probably higher. Fed is cutting rates, geopolitics are messy, and central banks are buying. These are the three pillars supporting gold.

Long-term (2025-2026): Most forecasts suggest $2,400-$2,800. That’s a reasonable target if the current macro regime holds.

Bottom line: If you believe rates will stay lower for longer and inflation won’t completely disappear, gold is a buy. If you think the Fed will somehow pivot back to hawkish, skip it. The data suggests the former is more likely right now.

The Takeaway

Gold has moved from “nice alternative asset” to “core portfolio component” for institutional money. The technical setup looks strong, the fundamental backdrop (weak dollar + falling rates + central bank demand) is constructive, and the forecasts are optimistic.

Will gold price increase in the coming days? Based on everything above—technical indicators, macro trends, and big money positioning—the odds are in your favor. But timing the exact entry and managing the ups and downs? That’s where the real skill comes in.

Use the tools (MACD, RSI, COT reports), monitor the drivers (US dollar, rates, geopolitical events), and stick to your plan. Gold’s the safest bet in an uncertain world right now.