2025-12-25 01:10:24

#数字资产市场动态 Interesting things have happened. An analyst in a certain corner once made a seemingly casual prediction about BTC's 2025 trend, and it turned out to be astonishingly accurate. From the rebound at the beginning of the year to mid-year fluctuations, and then to the key breakthrough in the middle of the year— that prediction actually hit most of the key points.

This naturally makes people wonder: Is the market really that predictable? Or was this guy just incredibly lucky?

Thinking about it, this kind of "divine prediction" phenomenon is not uncommon in the crypto market. Whenever there's a turning point, someone will dig up an old comment and shout "I told you so." But very few people can consistently buy the dip and sell the top.

Anyway, this incident indeed reminds us — in this uncertain crypto world, maintaining humility is more important than believing in anything else. The market is always more complex than we imagine.

BTC1,49%

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StakeWhisperer

· 2025-12-27 17:52

It's the same old "I told you so" routine again, really laughable. There are many people with good luck, but few actually make money. Basically, it's survivor bias. Don't be fooled.

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GhostAddressHunter

· 2025-12-27 10:38

It's the same old story, if you guess right, you’re hailed as a prophet --- Lucky enough to hit a few points and start calling yourself a master, hilarious --- Basically, this is gambler's fallacy, armchair strategist after the fact --- If you could predict stably, wouldn’t you have made a fortune already? --- Someone always digs up old comments to gloat, so annoying --- Who dares to say they’ve truly figured out the market? --- One word: survivor bias, don’t be fooled --- Damn it, it’s the same old trick of "I said it early" --- People who can make stable profits would have already quit, they wouldn’t be commenting here --- Stop pretending to be humble, the market is chaotic, just accept it

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AirdropHarvester

· 2025-12-25 01:40

Luck plays a part, but it's not all luck; mainly, it depends on the individual. --- I'm frustrated again, seeing people say "I told you so." --- How did this guy do it? I'm truly impressed. --- Could he be a time traveler again? I don't believe it. --- Accurate predictions mean you're a master; a flop is just a joke. It's so typical. --- Basically, it's survivor bias; no one remembers failed predictions. --- Wow, did I really guess right this time? Or is there some trick? --- Anyone can boast, but those who truly make money keep quiet. --- The problem isn't that he predicts accurately, but why so many believe in predictions. --- Anyway, I don't have such good luck; I have to figure things out myself. --- Those who say "I told you so," why haven't I heard they've become rich?

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SilentObserver

· 2025-12-25 01:38

Pure luck. Next time, if he gets it right again, I'll believe he's a god.

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NotFinancialAdviser

· 2025-12-25 01:33

It's the same old "I told you so" routine, really? --- Luck accounts for 99%, don't be fooled by false narratives --- Haha, a bunch of armchair quarterbacks, if they can be accurate next time, then we'll talk --- That's why I never follow any predictions; analyzing the market myself is the most honest approach --- No one can predict the market, those "accurate forecasts" are just survivor bias --- Oh my, someone is trying to get famous with a few lucky predictions, impressive --- Predictions are easy, consistent profits are hard, that's the real truth

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BearWhisperGod

· 2025-12-25 01:14

It's that same "I told you so" routine again, someone always bringing up old issues... Just luck, don't take it seriously. Honestly, those who predict accurately have already made a fortune, why bother riding the trend on social media? In this kind of thing, everyone can play the role of Zhuge Liang after the fact. People who make money through predictions wouldn't be bragging here. The market isn't a math problem; anyone can guess right if they wait long enough. Instead of trusting predictions, it's better to trust your own risk management—that's the real deal. Nonsense, those who truly make money do so quietly and steadily.

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