As the Christmas holiday approaches, global trading markets are gradually hitting the pause button, but the upward momentum of gold shows no signs of weakening. This is not a short-term hype; there is a deeper logical support behind it.
Speaking of this round of continuous gold price increases, one core background cannot be ignored—the restructuring of foreign exchange reserve compositions by global central banks. Many central banks are continuously increasing their gold holdings significantly under the strategy of foreign exchange diversification, providing a steady strategic demand for gold prices. Meanwhile, expectations of the Federal Reserve starting a rate cut cycle are growing stronger, directly lowering the cost of holding non-yield assets (such as gold), which has become a direct driver pushing up gold prices.
Ongoing geopolitical conflicts and the uncertain global economic recovery keep boosting gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Continuous buying inflows further expand the upside potential. From the supply side, gold production growth is limited, while demand from emerging industries like technology and manufacturing is steadily rising, creating a bullish supply-demand story. Multiple factors are stacking up, causing gold prices to even break the traditional inverse relationship with U.S. Treasury yields, forming a structural upward trend led by central bank gold purchases and macroeconomic sentiment.
Before the holiday, some short-term funds took profits and exited, causing a slight pullback in gold prices, but this is just a normal correction within a strong trend. Overnight, gold prices held steady at the key level of 4480, and technically, there is still momentum to push higher to 4550 or even 4600. In subsequent operations, don’t be bothered by short-term fluctuations; following the trend and going long is the way to go.
Trading suggestion: Buy on dips within the 4400-4430 range to capture trend-based gains. Focus on whether the support at 4445-4455 can hold, and be cautious of resistance at 4550 above. Be sure to control your positions near key levels to prevent risks from sudden market changes.
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TopEscapeArtist
· 20h ago
You're trying to trick me into bottom-fishing again, huh? Why didn't anyone warn me last time when it couldn't hold at 4550?
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StablecoinArbitrageur
· 20h ago
actually the correlation breakdown between gold and real yields is the real tell here... central bank accumulation is just masking the underlying liquidity crisis tbh. from my backtesting, these "structural uptrends" collapse ~73% of the time when geopolitical premium deflates. but sure, stack the 4400-4430 if you're comfortable with order book depth at these levels.
Reply0
SlowLearnerWang
· 20h ago
Once again, the central banks have cut the leeks. I'm really a step behind.
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OldLeekConfession
· 21h ago
The central bank is frantically hoarding gold, and we can only join in and enjoy the gains.
View OriginalReply0
LayerZeroEnjoyer
· 21h ago
The central bank buying gold is real, not just talk. 4600 can really be achieved.
As the Christmas holiday approaches, global trading markets are gradually hitting the pause button, but the upward momentum of gold shows no signs of weakening. This is not a short-term hype; there is a deeper logical support behind it.
Speaking of this round of continuous gold price increases, one core background cannot be ignored—the restructuring of foreign exchange reserve compositions by global central banks. Many central banks are continuously increasing their gold holdings significantly under the strategy of foreign exchange diversification, providing a steady strategic demand for gold prices. Meanwhile, expectations of the Federal Reserve starting a rate cut cycle are growing stronger, directly lowering the cost of holding non-yield assets (such as gold), which has become a direct driver pushing up gold prices.
Ongoing geopolitical conflicts and the uncertain global economic recovery keep boosting gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Continuous buying inflows further expand the upside potential. From the supply side, gold production growth is limited, while demand from emerging industries like technology and manufacturing is steadily rising, creating a bullish supply-demand story. Multiple factors are stacking up, causing gold prices to even break the traditional inverse relationship with U.S. Treasury yields, forming a structural upward trend led by central bank gold purchases and macroeconomic sentiment.
Before the holiday, some short-term funds took profits and exited, causing a slight pullback in gold prices, but this is just a normal correction within a strong trend. Overnight, gold prices held steady at the key level of 4480, and technically, there is still momentum to push higher to 4550 or even 4600. In subsequent operations, don’t be bothered by short-term fluctuations; following the trend and going long is the way to go.
Trading suggestion: Buy on dips within the 4400-4430 range to capture trend-based gains. Focus on whether the support at 4445-4455 can hold, and be cautious of resistance at 4550 above. Be sure to control your positions near key levels to prevent risks from sudden market changes.