2025-12-25 07:26:23

I recently came across a set of data that was a bit eye-opening.

Among the new coins launched this year, over 84% have completely diluted valuations that broke their initial offering price (TGE) after the token generation event. The median decline is as high as 71%.

What does this mean? Essentially, most projects are only most valuable at the moment they go live, and then they steadily decline. The glory days are fleeting, replaced by long-term downward adjustments. This data looks quite cold.

Of course, it’s not to say that all new projects are like this — but from a probability perspective, the situation where new coins experience a price drop is indeed alarmingly common.

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AllInDaddy

· 2025-12-28 06:27

84% decline? That's why I don't touch new coins—immediately harvested after launch.

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DegenDreamer

· 2025-12-26 14:18

84% decline, this data is really incredible, it feels like gambling on luck The TGE moment was the peak, afterwards everything was downward, so heartbreaking Median decline of 71%? I just want to know how the 16% survived New tokens are basically a game of musical chairs, those who buy early eat the meat, those who buy late drink the soup Breaking below the price is the norm, not breaking below is actually strange That's why I only look at project fundamentals now and avoid new TGE, there are too many pitfalls Probability theory is right here, most people are just there to give away money With such a huge disparity, who dares to go all-in on new tokens? Truly brave warriors Projects that survive TGE must be really awesome, a 71% drop is enough to scare most away

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CryptoGoldmine

· 2025-12-25 07:56

84% decline below issuance price, 71% median drop, this is why I only focus on hash rate return ratio and not on new coins. Probability theory is in play here; most projects become tools for harvesting profits after TGE.

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AirdropNinja

· 2025-12-25 07:50

84% decline, this data is really incredible. It feels like every time we're just betting on that 16%. TGE hits the peak right after launch, then just wait for the drop. Once you understand the routine, it's clear. A 71% drop—how much loss does that imply? New tokens are just cash crops for the insiders. It's no coincidence that they hit the top immediately after launch. I've seen through it long ago. Now, whenever a new token comes out, I just stay away.

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LayerHopper

· 2025-12-25 07:26

84% decline, 71% drop... These numbers are truly astonishing. It feels like every new coin launch is a setup. That's why I have to hold my nose and cautiously enter new projects now; I simply can't afford to gamble. The highlight at TGE is just for a second, then it's all blood.

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