#预测市场 After reading CZ's year-end Q&A, the part about prediction markets was quite interesting. He said that it's still impossible to determine which project will win, but the next hot event could decide the short-term winner— the US presidential election will be a watershed moment.

I deeply resonate with this. The prediction market sector is still in its wild growth phase, with traders employing different strategies, some aggressive and some conservative, exploring the space. The real opportunity isn't in betting on a specific project, but in observing who can maintain popularity before major events and whose strategies are more stable amid volatility.

From a copy-trading perspective, the styles of prediction market operators vary greatly—some focus on political races, others bet on sports events, and some are pure arbitrageurs based on probabilities. The key is to distinguish: are these experts relying on informational advantages or purely on strategy? The former often become ineffective after the event passes, while the latter are worth following long-term.

CZ mentioned that cryptocurrencies still have several orders of magnitude of growth potential, with a penetration rate below 1%, which is a fundamental premise. But whether prediction markets can become that growth engine depends on the team's execution and whether they truly love this direction. Don't be fooled by short-term hype; look for those operators who persist even in bear markets—they are the ones who truly understand this sector. The next major event will arrive soon, and we'll see the outcome then.