#加密市场开年反弹 $ETH ‌

Ethereum Bull Trap Warning: Selling Risks Approaching, Short Positions Are Justified

Core Viewpoint

Ethereum's current rise is a typical bull trap pattern. Technical signals are clearly bearish, and hidden concerns exist in the capital flow. The short-term selling risk is extremely high, and immediate caution and short position deployment are necessary.

Key Warning Basis

1. Technical Outlook Fully Bearish: MACD indicator forms a death cross at high levels and crosses below the zero line. The green downward momentum bars continue to expand, and the price has broken below short-term key moving averages such as MA5 and MA20, indicating the bullish structure is completely broken.
2. Abnormal Capital Fluctuations: Recently, Ethereum ETF capital flows have been volatile, with large net outflows in December. Inflows at the start of the year lack sustainability. Institutional holdings are clearly divided, making it difficult to support high prices.
3. Profit-taking Selling Pressure Surges: Short-term gains have reached 50%, and profit-taking positions worth hundreds of billions are eager to be closed. Once a concentrated sell-off occurs, it will trigger a chain reaction of declines. Historical data shows that similar patterns can lead to a 40%-60% correction.

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