2026-01-04 13:45:21

A fresh Polymarket account just pulled off an impressive 12x gain betting on Venezuela intervention developments. The trade has sparked speculation across the prediction market community—was it insider knowledge, sharp geopolitical analysis, or just lucky timing?

Polymarket has become the go-to platform for traders looking to monetize their takes on real-world events. Whether it's political outcomes, economic moves, or international affairs, the platform lets you put skin in the game with actual financial stakes. This Venezuela play is turning heads, raising questions about information asymmetry in decentralized prediction markets. How much edge do early movers really have? And what does it say about market efficiency when a new account can turn a play into a 12-bagger?

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

WhaleMistaker

· 01-04 23:46

12x returns? I bet this guy either has insider information or is just lucky. Anyway, I can't understand the game of Venezuela. A new account can achieve 12x, which shows how outrageous the information gap on Polymarket really is... Those who get in early always make the profit. Wait, is someone knowing something in advance? It doesn't seem that simple. Honestly, I just want to ask, can he replicate this next time? 12x in one shot is really incredible. Prediction markets are just information games; whoever is faster wins, but this new account is just too outrageous.

View OriginalReply0

ShitcoinArbitrageur

· 01-04 21:56

12x? Bro, your luck is really incredible. If you're not an insider, then you must have insane luck. Anyone can go all-in on Polymarket, I just want to know how this guy thought of Venezuela. Taking the initiative and making a killing, the market efficiency really isn't as high as you think. Information asymmetry can't be avoided even on the chain; someone knows something you don't. Playing a hand that hits 12x, I think it's my turn next.

View OriginalReply0

SnapshotBot

· 01-04 14:15

12x return? This guy is either insider trading or pure luck. I bet 5 bucks on the latter.

View OriginalReply0

ThreeHornBlasts

· 01-04 14:14

Wow, 12x? Is this guy a true prophet or insider information? New accounts are this aggressive right from the start, feels a bit suspicious. Prediction markets are all about information warfare; whoever reacts faster makes money. I've been watching the Venezuela situation for a while, just a step too late. Polymarket is just gambling, it's just packaged very professionally. If ordinary people could easily get 12x, I would have been financially free long ago. Information gaps are always the biggest weapon; how can beginners possibly keep up?

View OriginalReply0

OnchainArchaeologist

· 01-04 14:12

12x returns... This guy must either be really talented or just lucky. This is the true charm of prediction markets—winning a bet can turn everything around.

View OriginalReply0

FlatlineTrader

· 01-04 14:07

A 12x return sounds great, but I bet this guy just got lucky and caught the wave at the right time. --- That Venezuela deal, it feels like there's a strong insider vibe... New accounts can also turn 12x? --- Polymarket has really turned into a gambling platform. Whoever has the information makes money, everyone else is just a leek. --- In this kind of market, I still dare not go all-in on prediction markets. I don't have that courage. --- New account 12x... Well, the problem isn't polymarket, the problem is that information asymmetry always exists. --- Damn, I just want to know how this guy sniffed out the trend so quickly. It definitely wasn't public information. --- That's how prediction markets work—those who react fast eat the meat, others are just background. --- If this were traditional finance, it would have been shut down long ago. On-chain, it's just a bandit den. --- 12x... That's a bit outrageous, unless they've really uncovered something others haven't seen.

View OriginalReply0