#比特币价格预测 Hayes's recent prediction is interesting——the Fed's RMP operations are interpreted as a new form of QE, and I agree with this logic. Liquidity release plus fiat currency depreciation expectations are indeed catalysts for Bitcoin. His roadmap is also clear: short-term oscillation between 80K-100K, then a shift to 124K and even 200K after a change in perception, with a possible emotional high around March.

But there's a detail worth pondering——he transferred 508 ETH to Galaxy Digital yesterday, worth about $1.5 million. This move is very convincing because the real actions of influential figures are often more honest than their predictions. If he's truly so optimistic about the future, why sell during the rebound? This could mean he's preparing for the next adjustment or taking profits in stages.

From a follow-the-leader perspective, predictions from top traders like this are indeed worth referencing, but the key is to watch their actual position movements. Many predictions look good on paper, but the rare ones are those who truly verify their judgment with real money in the market. My advice is to consider Hayes's macro outlook for long-term allocation strategies, but when it comes to actual follow-up, focus on his real position changes—that's what he truly believes in. Short-term fluctuations are inevitable, but if the fundamentals hold, pullbacks are opportunities.