Options Market Signal: Traders Are Betting on Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 Again by the End of This Month

After experiencing a deep correction at the end of 2025, Bitcoin options traders are now refocusing on the key target of $100,000 at the beginning of this year. Market sentiment has also recovered from panic, and optimistic signals are emerging in the derivatives space.

According to Bloomberg, the strongest evidence of this phenomenon comes from options position data from Deribit exchange.

Data shows that open interest in Bitcoin call options with a strike price of $100,000, expiring on January 30, is more than twice the size of the most popular put options (strike price $80,000) during the same period, indicating that a large amount of capital is betting on Bitcoin returning to this psychological level in the short term.

Traders point out that although the market疯狂购买高价看跌期权以寻求资产保护，but this "panic premium" has now significantly diminished, indicating that the market no longer expects the worst-case scenario.

Meanwhile, ETF market funds are also beginning to flow back in. The US Bitcoin spot ETF attracted a net inflow of $697 million this Monday, reaching the highest level since October 7 last year, indicating that institutional buying is returning.

Analysts note that this rebound has a broad market context. First, traditional safe-haven assets like gold and tech stocks are rising in tandem. In comparison, Bitcoin appears "price lagging" after a sharp decline, which actually increases the attractiveness of its call options.

However, whether this trend can truly establish itself remains to be seen. Over the past few months, Bitcoin has repeatedly been rejected at key resistance levels and quickly retreated, confirming significant selling pressure above.

Some market opinions believe that Bitcoin must effectively hold above $106,000 on the weekly chart to regain the momentum to challenge new all-time highs.

From the options market positioning perspective, if Bitcoin's weekly price can successfully stay above $90,000, the next important target may be around $105,000.

In summary, the data from the options market and the capital inflow trend in spot ETFs indicate that traders are betting with real money that Bitcoin will return to $100,000. However, whether this process can be smoothly realized still depends on breaking through the stubborn resistance zones that previously suppressed price increases.

#期权市场 #Market Sentiment