Today, I took a look at the recent Bitcoin trend and found that the potential rebound support points are at two levels: around 98k at the 2.618 extension of the left-side bearish structure, and around 101k at the 2.618 extension of the 1-hour upward move. The range between these two numbers is the current key rebound zone. Based on this judgment, there is no need to short from a higher timeframe perspective for now. Even if I plan to operate later, I will wait until the right-side structure shows a rebound and a sufficient test of pressure before taking action.



Currently, the market may follow two paths. The first is a direct completion of the rebound phase, with a retracement not exceeding 0.5 on the Fibonacci axis, inducing long positions through short squeeze, then directly starting a new large-cycle decline. However, I personally favor the second scenario — in the short term, a correction on the 1-hour level is likely, finding support in the range of 91,000 to 92,500. Subsequently, a 1-hour rebound with a high point breaking through, followed by a slight pullback, then pushing towards the target above 98,000, after which a downtrend will begin.

Additionally, Ethereum’s structure is generally synchronized with Bitcoin’s rhythm, so the short-term trading strategy can be quite similar. In summary, patience is key—wait for signals and avoid rushing to chase highs or bottom-fish.
BTC-0,32%
ETH0,39%
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GasFeeCryingvip
· 01-09 12:17
The 98-101k range is indeed critical, but I still think it will first drop to 91-92.5 to test support before moving up. Wait for a rebound and a break of the level before considering adding positions. Chasing highs now really makes it easy to get trapped. I'm confident that ETH will follow the trend, but I'm just worried about another black swan event.
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fomo_fightervip
· 01-07 19:07
If the range between 98 and 101 holds, we still have a chance. --- Wait, what do you mean by the 05 axis? I need to think about this more. --- It's another case of patiently waiting for signals. I can't keep my fingers from pressing. --- I’ve noted that 98,000 point. I’ll check it again later. --- Ethereum is swinging along with Bitcoin; they really are a community of shared fate. --- Direct completion and gradual rebound, it seems the latter has a higher probability. --- After this analysis, bro, you still didn't dare to take action, right? --- The trick of squeezing the market to induce more buying is tired. Let’s see the decline sooner.
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SmartContractPhobiavip
· 01-07 14:03
The range from 98k to 101k does have some significance, but I'm more concerned about whether 9.1 to 9.25 can really hold. Wait, you said both paths are possible? Then I need to see how ETH performs. If they truly move in sync, it'll be much easier to judge. Honestly, patience is still key. Anyway, my hand is already on the wallet, so I'm getting annoyed. If it can really break through 9.8 this time, I’ll believe you; otherwise, it’s just another dirge.
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DegenWhisperervip
· 01-06 12:51
The 98k to 101k range is indeed interesting, but it feels like I have to wait again and again, I can't stand this kind of patience. Wait, how come I didn't see through your bullish trap logic? I don't really agree with the support strength between 91k-92.5k, brother, I feel it might be even lower. Anyway, I'm just lying flat now, waiting for the signals you mentioned before taking action. If it really can go up to 98k this time, I'll directly leverage, and don't blame me if it explodes then, haha.
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StealthMoonvip
· 01-06 12:49
The 98k to 101k range is indeed critical, but it still depends on how the right side moves. --- I also lean towards the second scenario; the logic of finding support between 9.1-9.25 makes sense. --- Is ETH syncing with BTC? I don't quite agree; ETH has been moving somewhat independently this round. --- Wait, wait, wait, I just can't wait anymore haha. --- Full stress testing before taking action. It's correct to say so, but it's true that I can't do it. --- The target level of 9.8 feels a bit optimistic; be cautious. --- The rebound breakout depends on trading volume; if volume is insufficient, don't expect too much.
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MerkleTreeHuggervip
· 01-06 12:49
Is the range from 98 to 101 really that critical? It feels like every time people say it's key, I can't catch it anyway. --- Waiting for signals is easy to say, but when the time comes, my mentality collapses haha. --- Is Ethereum and Bitcoin's rhythm in sync? I think my ETH holdings are aiming for an independent trend. --- The wave from 91 to 925 was supported; I bet this time it's just a false alarm again. --- It's 2.618 again, I've been brainwashed by the Fibonacci sequence. --- Not chasing highs or bottoming out—this is much harder to do than it sounds. How do you manage to do it? --- The target of 98,000 feels a bit arbitrary. Why not 97 or 103? --- Only enter during a decline? Then you'd have to queue up to get in. --- Can you really sit still before a rebound test? I can't sit still.
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MetaMuskRatvip
· 01-06 12:48
The 98k to 101k range, to put it simply, is about whether it can be pushed up or not; otherwise, it could just drop straight down.
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MetaverseVagrantvip
· 01-06 12:39
Friction between 98k and 101k, feels like we're about to be lured into a long position again.
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WhaleShadowvip
· 01-06 12:34
Is the 98k to 101k range a trap or real support? It depends on how the right-side structure develops. Don't bet too early.
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GateUser-74b10196vip
· 01-06 12:23
The 98k to 101k range is indeed very critical, but what I care more about is whether the 91,000 level can hold steady. Wait, if you say a higher point can break through, then it shouldn't be so easy to crash down. Is the short squeeze logic valid? I agree with the view that Ethereum is moving in sync with Bitcoin this wave; history has followed this pattern. It's good that you mentioned not chasing the high; recently, everyone who chased has lost money haha. The number 2.618 is used quite frequently; it seems you're a heavy user of the Fibonacci sequence. Waiting for the signal, anyway, there's no rush.
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