2026-01-06 12:22:51

The US dollar has recently fallen into a typical stalemate. On one side, escalating geopolitical risks are boosting safe-haven demand, while on the other side, signals of sluggish US economic growth remain. Investors are constantly swaying between these two forces, and market analysts point out that any new developments on the geopolitical front could trigger sharp fluctuations in the dollar.

Last Monday's release of the ISM manufacturing data fell short of expectations, further fueling concerns about a slowdown in economic momentum. These concerns are well-founded—if upcoming economic data continue to weaken, market expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates further this year will significantly increase.

Looking at this week's schedule, there is little room for respite. Wednesday's ISM services data and job openings report will provide a clearer picture of the economy, followed by the highly anticipated non-farm payrolls report on Friday. Each piece of data could recalibrate the direction of the dollar and cryptocurrencies. In this environment of uncertainty, the volatility of mainstream assets like BTC, ETH, BNB, and others will also intensify.

BTC-1,39%

ETH-3%

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TokenVelocityTrauma

· 01-06 12:51

This week's data came one after another. Can the dollar stay stable... It still seems to depend on non-farm payrolls. --- Geopolitics vs. economic recession, the Federal Reserve caught in the middle, and retail investors are the unlucky ones. --- NGL, holding assets under this uncertainty is the hardest, every data point can cause a sell-off. --- ISM has already exploded, and with so many heavyweight data releases this week, BTC is ready to surge. --- Safe-haven demand pushes the dollar up, recession expectations press the dollar down... It's a deadlock, and anyway, the crypto market is just following along to be sacrificed. --- Non-farm payrolls on Friday are the real test. Praying in advance that there won't be another black swan. --- It seems that as soon as the Fed's rate cut expectations rise, crypto takes off. This cycle is really perfect. --- Economic data keeps falling short of expectations. When will it finally settle down? --- Every week talks about heavyweight data, but the crypto prices are still so disappointing. LOL.

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retroactive_airdrop

· 01-06 12:44

Stop messing around. This week's data bombardment is just to mess with us retail investors. Two tough battles on Wednesday and Friday. Now, holding coins is just waiting to be smashed. The economy isn't showing signs of improvement, and the dollar is swinging again. Honestly, it's just that funds have nowhere to go, so they speculate in cryptocurrencies. ISM data unexpectedly dropped again. If expectations for rate cuts rise, can BTC take off? I have my doubts. Isn't this a typical cycle of "waiting for data—volatility—cutting losses—regretting the rebound"? Should we be bullish on the dollar or accumulate BTC? This question is really coming. Geopolitical risks are the most annoying thing; they can overturn your holding logic at any time. Should I go all-in on non-farm payrolls this Friday? Can someone give me a definitive answer?

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All-InQueen

· 01-06 12:29

The USD has been really volatile this wave, sometimes safe-haven, sometimes recession, making people anxious. Data week is here, everyone get ready. Watching the data this week is as exciting as opening a blind box. ISM is causing trouble again; every time it can determine the fate of the coin price... I bet five cents that the non-farm payrolls data this Friday will explode. Instead of watching the USD, it's better to watch BTC; at least the market trend of coins can still be figured out. Interest rate cuts are shouted every day; if they really happen, that would be great. The Federal Reserve should stop hesitating. This kind of stalemate market is the most annoying; with no clear direction, how can we play coins? Geopolitical risks are also stirring up trouble, enough already. Every time, it affects the crypto circle. I've marked the data for Wednesday and Friday; I might have to stay up all night monitoring the market... Just sway if you want, anyway, we've been used to the volatility since we started playing crypto.

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TestnetScholar

· 01-06 12:24

The dollar's move is really unpredictable this time. One moment it's safe-haven, the next it's recession. Feels endless. Data week is here. Waiting for Friday's non-farm payrolls. Will the crypto market finally settle down then? ISM data bombed again, and expectations for rate cuts soared. This time, the Federal Reserve has to seriously consider it. Wednesday and Friday will be two major data releases. BTC might be in for a rollercoaster ride. With such poor economic signals, do they dare to continue shrinking the balance sheet? I can't quite understand the FED's logic. Geopolitical risks are piling up. It feels like the dollar is just a sieve—nothing can stop it. Has the rate cut cycle started? Based on the ISM data, it's probably a yes. When will this deadlock break? The constant swings are giving me a headache.

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