2026-01-06 14:28:36

Twitter founder Jack Dorsey recently put forward a bold idea: Bitcoin could break through $1 million before 2030. This prediction sounds crazy, but the underlying logic is worth careful consideration.

Dorsey's core argument is based on several fundamentals. First is the global macro environment: central banks worldwide continue to inject liquidity, and debt levels are expanding, directly increasing demand for scarce assets. Second is the maturation of infrastructure—Bitcoin spot ETFs, institutional-grade custody services, and payment channels have cleared technical barriers for large-scale capital entry. Lastly is the self-fulfilling prophecy: when enough leading institutions and countries start allocating to Bitcoin, this expectation will itself reinforce its value.

There are indeed some signals supporting this logic. Traditional financial giants like BlackRock and Morgan Stanley have begun to hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets. From El Salvador to Switzerland, some countries are exploring sovereign-level Bitcoin reserves. The Lightning Network's transaction volume has surged 300% over the past year, indicating that Bitcoin's payment functionality is gradually taking effect.

However, a few realities must be clarified: a million dollars is a long-term goal for 2030, not a short-term market move. The process will inevitably involve multiple deep corrections. If your psychological resilience is limited, you shouldn't invest too much capital. Those who benefit most from this long cycle are often those who dollar-cost average during bear markets and hold steadfast during bull markets.

Ordinary investors wanting to participate in this logic can consider a few principles: treat Bitcoin as a ten-year asset rather than a short-term trading tool; invest monthly without trying to time the market; risk no more than 5% of your total assets, but do so with 100% patience. What Dorsey describes is essentially a future where fiat trust systems gradually disintegrate and the value of scarce assets is re-evaluated. When this logic begins to materialize in reality, perhaps time will tell us who the true prophet is.

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NFTArchaeologis

· 01-09 14:05

This thing about a million dollars... to put it simply, it's about trading time for space. Just like in the antique market, early collectors are the ones who profit the most.

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CoconutWaterBoy

· 01-09 13:58

Jack is starting to send satellites again, about the million-dollar thing... I believe he has foresight, but it really takes ten years. Who can stick to a fixed investment for ten years without changing their mind?

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StopLossMaster

· 01-08 23:28

Here we go again, dreaming of a million dollars in Bitcoin. I'm tired of hearing it. But I do agree with dollar-cost averaging; the key is to be able to hold on. --- One million? Let's see if we can make it to 2030 first. Who can guarantee the current market conditions now? --- It's true that BlackRock and JPMorgan have entered the market, but retail investors just get harvested when they do. Wake up, everyone. --- How is the 300% surge in the Lightning Network calculated? Anyway, I haven't used it much. --- There's nothing wrong with committing 5% of your assets to dollar-cost averaging over ten years, but honestly, how many people can stick with it for ten years? --- Instead of listening to Dorsey boast, why not see how El Salvador is doing now? --- The most heartbreaking thing: those who truly make money never shout about it on Twitter. --- Fiat currency collapse? Let's wait and see. How much longer will this take? --- Monthly dollar-cost averaging is fine, but don't invest borrowed money—that's the most important point. --- I just want to ask: if a bear market really comes, can you stick with dollar-cost averaging? Or will you cut your losses?

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SurvivorshipBias

· 01-06 14:58

A million dollars sounds crazy, but spread out over ten years, it's not that outrageous. The key is to survive the few major downturns in the middle.

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NFTRegretDiary

· 01-06 14:58

1 million USD? Bro, this prediction is a bit intense, but I’ve taken the logic of dollar-cost averaging over ten years to heart. Just worried that the scythe might come again.

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TokenSleuth

· 01-06 14:55

Dorsey is rambling again, talking about a million dollars? Just listen, don't take it seriously. A million is a million, but the key is whether we can make it to 2030. DCA 5% and endure ten years—does anyone really have the guts to do that... Sounds good, but during a bear market, who still has the courage to keep buying? A 300% increase in the Lightning Network—this data seems a bit inflated; it's still the same group of veterans using it. BlackRock's allocation ≠ Bitcoin; it’s not really valuable. Large investors cutting the leeks also need reasons. Instead of waiting for a million, I’d rather know if we can stay above ten thousand next year.

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FOMOmonster

· 01-06 14:45

Jack is dreaming again, Bitcoin worth millions of dollars? I bet five bucks his next tweet will change his tune haha Wait, are institutions really allocating? I need to check my holdings... Dollar-cost averaging is the way to go, don’t talk to me about timing, I’m just a rookie If BlackRock really makes a big move, do we small investors still have a chance... That said, a ten-year dollar-cost averaging with a 5% risk limit, this advice is actually pretty good A million dollars, I might not live to see it, but what if? Still, as I always say, if you can’t handle psychological pressure, don’t play, you really won’t sleep well

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ForkPrince

· 01-06 14:40

Jack still dares to say, 1 million USD... I believe in this logic, but those who truly make money are definitely not the ones chasing highs. This time is different; institutions are really accumulating. The Swiss matter has given me quite a lot of confidence. Dollar-cost averaging is the most patient strategy; in a bear market, you need to keep adding. Most people won't hold until 2030 and will sell earlier. However, the 5% quota suggestion is a bit conservative; I have allocated a bit more. The only concern is the several times of halving in the middle; we need to keep a steady mindset, everyone. The 300% surge in the Lightning Network is a very critical data point, indicating that the payment ecosystem is really moving. A prophet is just a prophet; surviving until that day is the most important thing. I will continue with dollar-cost averaging.

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 01-06 14:37

Jack has started his Bitcoin evangelism again. The figure of one million dollars still sounds outrageous... But on the other hand, BlackRock and the others have really started allocating.

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BearMarketNoodler

· 01-06 14:36

A million dollars sounds good, but the key is who can survive the next round of cutbacks. Those who invest regularly for five years will laugh last, while those chasing highs are already exhausted. Dorsey is right, the problem is that most people can't wait ten years. Lightning Network up 300%? Is this data real? It depends on the base. The central bank injecting liquidity + institutional entry, I've heard this logic before, but the key is when it will truly materialize.

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