#通胀压力 Seeing the Federal Reserve's forecast to cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year, many people are starting to get excited and go long. But this is exactly when it's easiest to get caught in a trap.

I've fallen many times in the crypto world and know a fundamental truth: macro positive news is often the best time for the main players to unload. The expectation of rate cuts sounds great, but it takes time for this to translate into crypto prices, and there's a lot of room for manipulation in the process. And don't forget, inflation pressure is still there. The Fed's words sound nice, but the actual data implementation is another matter.

The most dangerous thing isn't the market itself, but forgetting the risks when emotions are high. I've seen too many people go all-in on "major good news" only to get crushed. Projects claiming "this time is different" are often just in the accumulation phase, creating FOMO for you.

The key is to ask yourself a few questions: Is this price increase driven by real demand or just capital speculation? Does the project have actual value support? Do you have a clear stop-loss line? If you can't answer these questions, no matter how good the news is, it shouldn't be a reason to bet heavily.

Living longer is a hundred times more important than making quick profits.