# 美联储

#WalshConfirmedAsFedChair is now one of the biggest financial and political stories in the world, as Kevin Warsh has officially been confirmed as the new Chair of the United States Federal Reserve. The Senate approval marks a historic transition in American monetary leadership and signals a potentially major shift in how the U.S. central bank will approach inflation, interest rates, economic growth, and financial stability over the coming years.
Reuters +1#WalshConfirmedAsFedChair
Warsh’s confirmation comes during a highly sensitive economic period. Inflation pressures remain elevated, globa

Yesterday $57,742 — 21-month low.
Today directly back to $61,000, up 4.22% intraday.
U.S. crypto stocks collectively surged: Conglian Group +19%, Strategy +8%, Coinbase +7%.
But don't rush to call the bottom. June dropped 19% for the entire month, the worst June since the 2022 bear market. ETF cumulative net outflows exceeded $5.1 billion, BlackRock's IBIT broke a record with over $3 billion in a single month. The probability of a Fed rate hike in July is still 30%.
Tonight's non-farm payrolls are the key catalyst — strong data → rate hike → sell-off again; weak data → rate cut expectations →

Keep an eye on a few key numbers over the weekend:
S&P closed at 7354, right on the 50-day moving average of 7356. It has been testing this line for three consecutive days—not yet broken, but not bouncing back either.
If the NFP data next week is weak (expected to fall significantly from May's 172K), it could actually break lower.
VIX at 20.12, up 6.5%—not panic levels, but clearly no longer comfortable. Consumer confidence at 48.9, near historical lows—this somewhat contradicts the market picture where 62% of individual stocks are above their 50-day moving averages. Ultimately, macro is pessi

🚨Feiyu Analysis: Decisive Battle at the Federal Reserve Kevin Wirth's Debut Night
* Tonight's forecast: Interest rates expected to remain unchanged. Focus on new Chair Wirth's speech: if he strongly mentions accelerating balance sheet reduction or canceling the dot plot, it will break the market's long-term certainty expectations.
* Impact on the market:
1. Hawkish: U.S. Treasury yields soar, triggering chain liquidations in derivatives positions, and Bitcoin may quickly drop to the 58k-60k strong support zone.
2. Neutral: The market fluctuates widely at high levels.
Extreme volatility is imm

5.28 News Summary: Fed Officials Hawkish, SpaceX Valuation Controversy Rises
First, the conclusion: each point is adding to the logic of not going long in June. None are positive.
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1. Federal Reserve: Hawkish Voices Rise, No Hope for Rate Cuts
Three officials speak simultaneously, with a consistent stance: no rate cuts, possibly even rate hikes.
· Kashkari: It is "premature" to assert that a rate hike is needed now, which sounds like "rate hikes are not ruled out."
· Bowman: The impact of the war on inflation is "temporarily negligible," meaning short-term price fluctuations won't change th

🔥Federal Reserve Chair Change | Crypto Only Watches These 3 Life-or-Death Signals🔥
💥Jerome Powell Officially Takes Over the Federal Reserve💥
Global liquidity is entering a super turning point
Gold, U.S. Treasuries, and the stock market have already started to move📊
As the most liquidity-sensitive segment, the crypto market📈
The next rise or fall depends entirely on these 3 core logics👇
✅ ① Rate-Cut Expectations = the “Bull Market” Ceiling
The new chairman’s dovish vs. hawkish stance directly determines the pace of liquidity release
💧Easing and rate cuts → massive funds fl