BTC closed with a bearish candle on the daily chart today, and the Trading Volume has significantly shrunk compared to the previous period, displaying characteristics of a weak and volatile trend overall. In the short term, the bias leans towards the bears, but on the 4-hour chart, lower wicks appear frequently, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears, with a clear consolidation pattern. Moving to the 1-hour cycle, the coin price is fluctuating widely downwards, and the strength of long positions catching a falling knife is severely lacking, increasing the probability of further declines. The current market is generally showing a bearish consolidation.
From a trading perspective, layered layout can be implemented under such market structure:
Aggressive traders can look for long positions in the range below 85500-85000, setting 84500 as the stop-loss point, with take-profit targets at 86500, 87500, and 89000. If the risk tolerance is relatively conservative, they can choose to layout long positions in the range of 83700-83300, with a stop-loss at 83000 and take-profit targets at 84500, 86000, and 88000.
The bearish layout is also divided into two levels. If looking for short-term pullback opportunities, a short position can be established in the range above 88000-88500, with a stop loss set at 89100, and a quick take profit target at 87000 and 85500. The conventional approach is to build short positions in the range of 90800-91500, with a stop loss at 91800 and target prices of 89800 and 88500.
Overall, the current market still needs to pay attention to the performance of the support below, the willingness of long positions to hold is relatively weak, and the risk of a second downward test after a short-term decline needs to be closely monitored.
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WealthCoffee
· 5h ago
The bearish pattern is back, is it really going to fall this time?
The long positions are so weak, how can anyone dare to buy the dip?
It looks like the support level is going to be broken again, should we play people for suckers or hold?
It’s infuriating to see the volume shrink, clearly there are opportunities but no one is buying.
Should I short one hand at 88500 to test the waters? It feels like the risk is a bit high.
How long is this consolidation pattern going to last, it’s so boring.
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TradFiRefugee
· 5h ago
It's another stalemate between long and short positions... This time we really have to see who backs down first.
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The shrinking volume is the most annoying; it feels like no one is catching a falling knife.
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The short positions have the upper hand, I think I'll just observe for now.
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I'm considering that short order at 88500, but I can't afford the loss at 89100.
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The long positions are really exhausted; with such weak catching power, they should have run away long ago.
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To put it bluntly, there's no direction; waiting for the support below is key.
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Is a second dip coming? I think it's unlikely; a rebound might happen.
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This kind of consolidation just means losses; it's better to wait for clear signals before acting.
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Those with aggressive courage are really bold; I choose the conservative approach to be safer.
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It feels like it's going to break 83; that's when the real opportunity will come.
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GasWaster
· 5h ago
ngl this volume dried up faster than my gas optimization spreadsheet... weak hands everywhere rn fr
BTC closed with a bearish candle on the daily chart today, and the Trading Volume has significantly shrunk compared to the previous period, displaying characteristics of a weak and volatile trend overall. In the short term, the bias leans towards the bears, but on the 4-hour chart, lower wicks appear frequently, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears, with a clear consolidation pattern. Moving to the 1-hour cycle, the coin price is fluctuating widely downwards, and the strength of long positions catching a falling knife is severely lacking, increasing the probability of further declines. The current market is generally showing a bearish consolidation.
From a trading perspective, layered layout can be implemented under such market structure:
Aggressive traders can look for long positions in the range below 85500-85000, setting 84500 as the stop-loss point, with take-profit targets at 86500, 87500, and 89000. If the risk tolerance is relatively conservative, they can choose to layout long positions in the range of 83700-83300, with a stop-loss at 83000 and take-profit targets at 84500, 86000, and 88000.
The bearish layout is also divided into two levels. If looking for short-term pullback opportunities, a short position can be established in the range above 88000-88500, with a stop loss set at 89100, and a quick take profit target at 87000 and 85500. The conventional approach is to build short positions in the range of 90800-91500, with a stop loss at 91800 and target prices of 89800 and 88500.
Overall, the current market still needs to pay attention to the performance of the support below, the willingness of long positions to hold is relatively weak, and the risk of a second downward test after a short-term decline needs to be closely monitored.