PumpStrategist
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#美联储回购协议计划 Many people stumble in the crypto world, not because of bad luck, but because they mistake short-term fluctuations for long-term trends. This market has never been about momentary aggressive actions, but rather about whether one can maintain a clear mind in the long run.
Recently, BTC's trend illustrates the issue well. After dropping to 87121 last night, it rebounded, rising to around 88349 in the morning before starting to fall again, basically fluctuating within a narrow range. The situation with ETH is similar, slowly climbing up from a low of 2899, reaching 2987 around mid
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BakedCatFanboyvip:
Again drawing lines there, no matter how right it is, the market will still fall.
In the past few years in the community, I have noticed a phenomenon - there is no shortage of star projects, but what is most lacking is those that can survive long enough. The real competitiveness is being able to survive.
Two years ago, I brought a friend into the market with an initial capital of 100,000 yuan. He is not a rich second generation, and we don't have any information advantages; we just relied on observing the candlestick charts, researching technical aspects, and repeatedly trying and adjusting our mindset. Over the past two years, after experiencing several cycles of chang
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GovernancePretendervip:
100,000 to 1,500,000, to put it bluntly, it just means not cutting losses.

This point about living longer really hits home; there are a ton of star coins, but not many survive.

The mentality part is so true; I’m currently experiencing the "eating retail investors" phase...

To be honest, 99% of people can’t get through this stage.

The sense of rhythm really needs to be smashed out with real money.

Why does it feel like you’re talking about me... cutting losses to the point of depression.

The key is, how strong must you be to not have your mentality explode in these two years?

That sudden pump and dump moment, I’ve seen too many people get liquidated right away.

I want to ask a heart-wrenching question—are you still continuing to operate like this?
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Regarding the recent market performance of $ASTER, there are several risk factors worth following.
According to the data, the current $BTC quote is around 87000, while $ASTER has fallen to 0.68. If we follow the historical patterns of bear markets, Bitcoin may face a correction space towards the 75000 range, with a decline of over 50. The problem is that ASTER's resistance is clearly insufficient - once BTC experiences a significant pullback, this currency lacks support, and the downward space may exceed expectations, potentially reaching around the 0.3 level.
The key fundamental issue lie
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DefiPlaybookvip:
According to on-chain data, the TVL level of ASTER indeed limits its resistance capacity, with an average monthly unlocking amount of tens of millions basically locking in the rebound space.

0.3 is the real entry point, and catching a falling knife now is really unnecessary.
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At the end of the year, an unexpected variable emerged: the Fed took action three times within 10 days, injecting $38 billion into the market through repurchase agreements. This wave of "year-end management" point shaving operations immediately sparked the imagination of the crypto community regarding Bitcoin's "Santa Claus rally." But the question arises— is this truly the favorable wind to pump BTC, or is it an enticing yet fragile bubble?
The Fed's recent actions have actually seemed "both want and want" from the start. The official reason is to alleviate the year-end funding shorta
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ChainProspectorvip:
It's that trap of "wanting it both ways" again, I've seen through the Fed's tactics long ago.
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An account is not scary, but the wrong method is true despair.
Last year, I met an investment novice whose account only had 1800U left. According to him: "I’m so hesitant to even move the mouse, fearing it will all be gone overnight." My only advice to him was—don’t treat this place like a casino; it’s about strategy and discipline here.
A month later, his account rose to 12,000, and in three months it directly surged to 80,000. There wasn't a single liquidation during this period. Some say this is luck? What I want to say is: this is entirely the result of disciplined execution.
Today, I
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HashRateHustlervip:
Sub-accounts sound good, but how many can actually stick to it? One of my good buddies started with 1800 too, but ended up losing everything in the first week. Now his account is dead.
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The recent fall of NIGHT has indeed caught many people off guard. Looking closely at the underlying logic, there are actually two forces at play.
One is the impact of profit-taking. As the new rising star among privacy coins in the Cardano ecosystem, NIGHT was sold out immediately upon launch. Those who received airdrops and early investors began to cash out upon seeing the price increase, leading to an overwhelming surge in sell orders. This is particularly common in the early stages of new coin issuance—no matter how high the hype, it cannot stop the desire to realize profits.
Another aspect
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NotSatoshivip:
It's the same old story, the Airdrop party is cashing out and dumping.

This wave of NIGHT is indeed tough, the Privacy Coin track doesn't have much heat now.

Still have to look at SOL and ETH, those two are stable.
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Since the long wick candle from the high point of 3077, the market has clearly entered a retracement phase in the past two days. You can feel the sell pressure gradually strengthening - yesterday it directly broke the key support of 2950, and then the selling continued to surge. By around 8 PM, the price found stability near 2899, and now both bulls and bears are focusing on this low support area.
2950 was originally the core support level during the earlier fluctuations. Once it is lost, it opens up a larger space for a pullback. Fortunately, 2899 caught some of it, and the trading volume did
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ImpermanentPhobiavip:
2900 is the line of life and death, if it breaks, I have to run, I don't want to get dumped again this time.
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BTC closed with a bearish candle on the daily chart today, and the Trading Volume has significantly shrunk compared to the previous period, displaying characteristics of a weak and volatile trend overall. In the short term, the bias leans towards the bears, but on the 4-hour chart, lower wicks appear frequently, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears, with a clear consolidation pattern. Moving to the 1-hour cycle, the coin price is fluctuating widely downwards, and the strength of long positions catching a falling knife is severely lacking, increasing the probability of further
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WealthCoffeevip:
The bearish pattern is back, is it really going to fall this time?

The long positions are so weak, how can anyone dare to buy the dip?

It looks like the support level is going to be broken again, should we play people for suckers or hold?

It’s infuriating to see the volume shrink, clearly there are opportunities but no one is buying.

Should I short one hand at 88500 to test the waters? It feels like the risk is a bit high.

How long is this consolidation pattern going to last, it’s so boring.
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#BTC对标贵金属的竞争格局 The short positions lying in ambush from the morning session are now gradually easing up, continuing to look towards the downward rhythm. $BTC and $ETH, these two big brothers, need to maintain the right rhythm. The current market is like this; it's better to have good timing in the layout than to just chase after it. Reducing positions at the right timing is the key. The subsequent performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum still needs to be observed—there is no market that only rises without falling, and there is no bottom that only falls without rising.
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AltcoinHuntervip:
Reduce position card timing? Brother, are you talking about me? I'm just that kind of person who can't get it right.
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#BTC对标贵金属的竞争格局 Christmas Eve Market Outlook: Short-term Vigilance Against Risk Release
The US stock market will close tomorrow, and this moment today is the most ridiculous—liquidity is drastically shrinking, and the main players love to make moves during such windows. We need to keep a close watch.
The Bitcoin market has indeed been sluggish these past couple of days, with weak rebounds and insufficient decisiveness in the downturn. The overall market rhythm is not strong enough, and during the Christmas period, it is more likely to evolve into nightmarish volatility. Additionally, although
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OvertimeSquidvip:
Doing a short order on Christmas Eve? Bro, you really have guts, I'm just watching the liquidity gap hammer me...

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These past two days have been tough for everyone, the market maker is just waiting for this window period to make a move

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I remember that support at 86000, but if it really falls down, I'll be too soft-handed to catch...

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It's again about shorting at a high, last time playing like this almost got me liquidated, this time I really need to set a stop loss

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Money is hardest to make during Christmas, when liquidity shrinks, everyone is a sucker

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Building a short at 88800? I think I’ll just watch this market for now, after all, it can't run away anyway
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There is an interesting perspective on this round of Bitcoin market. At the end of the year, the crazy rise we imagined didn't happen, which disappointed some people. But thinking from another angle — this might actually help us avoid a big dump in the first quarter of next year.
Why do I say that? Just look at the volatility. The current volatility of Bitcoin has significantly compressed, and in this situation, to still fall by 70% or 80% is really hard to imagine. Simply put, the "intensity" of the market has become less exaggerated.
Many people are troubled that Bitcoin has not reached
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GasFeeSobbervip:
The perspective of volatility compression is indeed something I hadn't considered, and it makes sense.

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To be honest, not reaching the target of 250,000 USD is a bit disheartening, but on the flip side, it actually helped me avoid a pitfall.

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In the long run, compound interest is truly terrifying; doubling in two years and tripling in three years—this data would explode in any market.

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No extreme market conditions may actually indicate stability? Alright, let’s see if we can really avoid a big dump in the first quarter of next year.

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A gentle operation sounds pretty good; it's definitely better than extreme fluctuations for the heart.

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You're right, many people are indeed trapped by short-term goals; it's really time to look at the long-term curve.

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The signal of volatility is indeed easy to overlook; everyone is focusing on the prices.

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It belongs to a monstrous level of performance, but I still want to see how it goes in the first quarter of next year; let's not be too optimistic just yet.
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Today marks the 33rd day of full-time Cryptocurrency Trading. The night before last, I set a buy order for ETH and went to sleep, waking up to find that it got executed. I learned my lesson from previous experiences; placing open orders casually before sleep is like giving money to the market. But this time it's different—there's logical support in the space, and I've set both stop loss and take profit, so I feel relatively stable.
Speaking of which, I really need to change my habit of placing open orders after sleep. The market operates by a basic rule: prices always move along th
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LiquidationAlertvip:
Placing open orders before bed... We agreed not to do it again, but I still can't help it, haha.

Wait, did you really set the stop loss and take profit? Then I can relax.

The changes in liquidity have indeed been strange lately, need to be careful not to get washed out.

33 days full-time, you really have guts.
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Spot gold has today first broken through 4500 USD/ounce, with a cumulative rise of over 1870 USD this year. This is no longer just a simple safe-haven story.
Global liquidity expectations are changing, and large institutions are adjusting their asset allocations. Macroeconomic sentiment is continuously reshaping the concept of "value storage." The recent rise in gold reflects the market's reassessment of certainty assets—when traditional safe-haven assets are hitting new highs, this itself is sending a signal.
For the crypto space, this kind of signal is particularly worth paying attention
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ImpermanentTherapistvip:
Gold has broken 4500, and the crypto world is still asleep? Wake up, everyone!

History has memory; when gold is strong, digital assets are never absent. The narrative rotation is not nonsense.

But honestly, the mindset of entering a position now needs to be adjusted. It's not FOMO; it's about understanding the logic behind it.

When the window opens, you'll regret not buying the dip... here we go again.

The key is that major institutions are reallocating; that's the real signal. Retail investors are still tangled up in how much it will rise.

To put it simply, it's about waiting for certainty to appear. Everything else is noise.
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The timing of getting on board and exiting has always been the most challenging part of trading.
Looking at the trends of leading cryptocurrencies like $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB, it's crucial to grasp the right direction. The cyclical patterns of the market are there; as long as you learn to understand the logic behind price fluctuations, the accuracy of trend judgment will naturally improve.
No matter how the market turns, mastering the sense of timing is the key. Sometimes, missing the right moment to get on board can lead to drastically different returns. The topic of Bitcoin being compared
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DogeBachelorvip:
You're not wrong; just a single point of entry can really make a difference in returns, but the question is, who the hell can predict that accurately...
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#以太坊行情解读 BTC is a bit weak this morning, fluctuating around 87500. From the daily chart, the bearish signals are quite clear, with a death cross appearing on the 4-hour MACD and the Trading Volume increasing, indicating that the enthusiasm for long positions has indeed decreased significantly in the short term. Currently, the psychological barrier of 90,000 is under considerable pressure, while the support level at 87,200 has been tested repeatedly, giving a bit of a precarious feeling.
The trading idea is as follows:
If you are going long, you can enter the market in batches within the range
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BearMarketBrovip:
The death cross is so obvious, it feels like it's going to fall below 87200, what are you waiting for?
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Aave founder Stani's recent series of actions has attracted quite a bit of follow in the community. In just seven days, he consecutively bought 84,000 AAVE, investing 12.6 million USD. At the current price level, he has already lost about 2.2 million on paper, but this guy remains undeterred.
From the perspective of financial psychology, this is a typical "insider buying" signal. When the founders invest their own money, it is equivalent to signaling the entire market: I have confidence in the future value of this protocol. It's not just talk; it's backed by funds.
As an establishe
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PonziDetectorvip:
Wow, the founder is buying the dip himself, this signal is clear enough, right?
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BTC has been oscillating repeatedly on the daily chart, and it seemed ready to break through the 95000 mark, but it still failed to do so. With the Christmas holiday over, can the market see a decent rise? The market is still waiting to see if the 95000 price level can be effectively broken, which will be crucial. If the subsequent trend can rise with higher trade volumes, it will be even more interesting.
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ForkPrincevip:
It's just another fainting spell, 95000 is just a paper tiger.
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From a technical perspective, several signals worth following have emerged in the recent trend. The trading volume has significantly weakened, which often indicates insufficient upward momentum; more critically, the MACD indicator has formed a death cross, indicating that short positions are taking full control. In this situation, the previously accumulated favourable information has basically been digested, which may instead evolve into downward pressure in the future.
The risk of a breakout does exist. Once it falls below key support, the downside potential may be greater than expected, and
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Gm_Gn_Merchantvip:
Death cross is just death cross, anyway I already closed all positions haha

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The exhaustion of volume, I noticed the signs before, it's a bit late to say it now

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Light position short order? I think we need to be more cautious, a rebound can easily explode

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Buying the dip indeed easily traps, I've seen too many of these

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Short window period? Then don't get tangled, once the trend is established, just take action

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MACD death cross doesn't necessarily mean a fall, it was like that last time and ended up rebounding

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After the favourable information is digested, it's time to run, this logic is sound

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Support level is crucial, let's see if the defense line below can hold

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This wave indeed feels off, reducing position earlier is definitely not wrong
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The aggressive moves of publicly listed companies in the allocation of encryption assets have recently become the focus of the market. Institutions targeting Bitcoin as the main asset have already been able to match the daily trading volume of TradFi giants, which was unimaginable a few years ago.
The current situation is quite interesting—on one hand, there is an explosive performance of data. A leading technology company holds 671,000 Bitcoins, with an average acquisition cost of less than $75,000, currently yielding over $10.1 billion in profit, with a return rate close to 25% this year. Th
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FreeRidervip:
This wave is really gambling, and the institutions are playing so fiercely

Wait to see if the car will roll over on January 15th

Why does the money of the pension fund dare to be so stud Bitcoin...

The flag of $1 million is too ruthless, so let's live until 2027 first
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Discipline and patience often determine how far you can go in the crypto world more than a smart brain.
Six years ago, I naively entered the crypto world. At that time, like most people, my head was filled with dreams of financial freedom, but I never considered how many pitfalls lay ahead. Two years later, I brought a friend into the circle; he started with 100,000, had no news or background, and relied solely on hard work with candlestick charts and cultivating his mindset. In two years, he managed to grow his account to 1.5 million.
This experience taught me one thing: there is no such thin
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SoliditySlayervip:
That's right, the most painful part of a Cut Loss is when it rises right after you sell.
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