Seeing the right direction and holding onto the trend is the strongest skill in trading. What truly makes a difference is the ability to anticipate major trends and directions early on and to execute them with conviction. Once the direction is chosen correctly, all that's left is patience and rhythm management$ETH

Daily Market Analysis — BTC
Previously, the points indicated both bullish and bearish signals, and the trend aligned with expectations. The current price movement framework remains within the range of the box pattern repeatedly mentioned over the past 5 weeks, with the overall macro strategy unchanged.
From the weekly and monthly K-line perspectives, the price is still in a state where it first broke below the upward trend line that began in 2023. The decline has not been fully realized, but there is an expectation of a rebound upward to confirm the trend line and the neckline of the pattern i

The key levels provided yesterday have also played out in the market. Wait for the next opportunity. Currently, the market rebound is mainly to test the liquidity above. In the short term, the main theme remains to go long at high levels.

This is the logic of long-term trading. Being able to survive when the market is not good in itself is an advantage.
We are not here to prove how great we are, but to do the right thing at the right time, and to choose not to act at the wrong time. The most taboo thing in the investment market is being led by emotions and noise. It is important to follow the market rhythm, control position sizes, reduce trading frequency, and even decisively hold cash when conditions are not suitable.
The core goal during this period is not to pursue short-term gains, but to protect capital, maintain a stable

The non-farm payroll report was just released the day before yesterday, and tonight it's the turn for CPI. Here's a brief overview of the key points.
Currently, the market expects a 3.1% figure, and tonight's core focus is: does the CPI start with 2 or 3? If it hits 2.9% or lower, it indicates that inflation is still manageable, and the market will continue to bet on subsequent rate cuts. If it is 3.0% or rebounds above 3.1%, the narrative of sticky inflation will return, U.S. Treasury yields may rise, and tech stocks and risk assets could face pressure. But note that this data itself isn't ve

Btc has shown a sign of stabilization at a small degree, suspected to be forming a W bottom, and the support in the 8.5-8.6k range is still quite strong. It has been touched several times without breaking below. Therefore, you can enter a long position at the current price of 8.68-8.6k to catch a rebound. The first target for the rebound is 8.8k, and the second target is 9k. However, the overall trend is still downward. The plan is to ride the rebound and then switch to a short position afterward.

ETH Market Analysis: Do not chase short positions in the short term; wait for a rebound to create a second shorting opportunity.
ETH's current trend is relatively weak, but based on the structure and rhythm, the cost-effectiveness of directly chasing short positions in the short term is not high.
From the pattern perspective, it is more inclined to first induce a wave of upward movement before continuing the downward structure.
Short-term strategy: first go long, then go short.
Long position idea (anticipating a rebound):
Entry range: 2830–2800
Target range: 2930–2960
Logic: The momentum after

BTC is again being manipulated at the US Open, still the same old story.
Can Bitcoin end this period of consolidation?
Today: CPI will influence the next Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Tomorrow: The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates.
Two scenarios for BTC:
1. CPI inflation remains flat/rises, Bitcoin will reach $84,000.
2. CPI inflation decreases, Bitcoin will return above $90,000.
Now I believe that the focus of 2025 currency seems to be on AI-driven solutions, stablecoins, and ETFs. These keywords reflect innovation and stability.

Never be an absolute bull or an absolute bear.
As someone who has been deeply involved in the market for many years, I have only one message for everyone here: follow the market and do the right thing, rather than trading based on your emotions. In a real-money game like the crypto world, such childish behavior is gambling. You must believe that the market's reactions to various actions are inevitable; never hope that the market will adapt to you.
Congratulations to friends who believe in Lu Hang for catching this wave of gains today!

Daily Market Analysis — BTC
The "downtrend continuation" structure on the BTC daily chart is still ongoing. All our current operations are based on this structure combined with the "main control line" and the "lower boundary of the downward channel" within the region (see detailed chart). Therefore, the rebound is narrow, and the trend is rapid.
At the same time, as the daily downtrend continuation structure persists, we need to be cautious of a new downward move on the daily chart in the overall direction.
From this perspective, partial rebounds should not be chased, and if the price has not