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#比特币价格预测 Seeing this, I have to be honest. Tom Lee is calling for Bitcoin to hit 200,000 while his team says it might drop to 60,000. The scene is indeed quite heartbreaking. But think about it carefully, this actually reflects the biggest lesson I've learned over the years on the chain: different roles, different time cycles, should have different strategies.
The problem is, retail investors simply can't tell the difference. What we see is "experts contradicting themselves," then FOMOing and going all-in, or just completely clearing their positions. This is the perfect time to harvest the l

#美联储政策 The Bank of Japan's rate hike this time is really worth paying close attention to. A 98% probability essentially means it's a done deal, moving from 0.5% to 0.75%, the highest level since 1995 — the era of ultra-low interest rates for 30 years is coming to an end.
The issue lies in the chain reaction. Japan holds $1.2 trillion in U.S. Treasuries. Once Japanese bond yields rise, funds will inevitably withdraw from the U.S. market to chase higher yields. This directly threatens the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations. Think about it carefully: this year, the decline in U.S. Treasury

#市场周期与投资策略 When I saw this set of data from the Brazilian market, a word flashed through my mind: differentiation.
A 43% activity growth sounds exciting, but a closer look at the underlying logic reveals risks. The average investment amount jumps from a few hundred dollars to over 1000 dollars, and 18% of people are starting to diversify assets — this is not a sign of market maturity, but a sign of FOMO heating up. I’ve seen this scene in 2017 and 2021; each time, retail investors begin "serious investing," and it’s also when the bagholders are most densely accumulated.
The most warning sign

#加密监管政策 Seeing five platforms like Circle and Ripple being approved for federal trust bank licenses, my first reaction isn't excitement but caution. This is indeed a policy-level positive, but don't be fooled by the words "listed."
Remember the wave in 2017? Every time a regulatory "friendly" signal appeared, retail investors would start FOMO, only for the big players to harvest profits in one go. This time is different: policies are indeed improving, but that precisely means the market will become more regulated and transparent—those projects surviving on information asymmetry are doomed.
Wh

#加密货币监管政策 Seeing the recent notices from the State Council and Douyin, I have to say—over the years, the tricks in the crypto world have indeed become more and more elaborate. From packaging virtual currencies as smuggling products related to tobacco to using blockchain and digital assets as shells for illegal financial activities, this combination of tactics makes it impossible for newcomers to distinguish what is truly risky.
My own experience with pitfalls has taught me that every regulatory action is a warning bell for us. It’s not about completely staying away from this market, but about

#AI交易应用 Seeing Tether plan to integrate AI features into their wallet, my first reaction was to be cautious. Over the past two years, AI concepts have been everywhere, and many projects have been riding the AI wave to scam investors. Have I seen enough of that?
But upon closer inspection, Tether's move actually makes logical sense — integrating local private AI, supporting only mainstream assets (like Bitcoin, USDT, and other core tokens). It doesn't seem like a gimmick "for AI's sake." The key point is that they haven't issued new tokens, haven't created hype, and haven't even promoted it mu

#比特币价格走势 Seeing the analysis from Santiment, I have to be honest — there are still too many people betting on a rebound in the market, which precisely indicates that the true bottom has not yet arrived.
We have all experienced this scenario: during a decline, social media is filled with voices like "a quick rebound" and "buying the dip," but little do they know, this is exactly when the big players love to cut the leeks. Insufficient panic means most retail investors are still fooling themselves, still fantasizing about a short-term turnaround. Santiment points out that Bitcoin could drop to

#比特币技术分析 The US rate hike has landed, and the market is full of bullish voices. But I have to pour some cold water — these analysts' projected numbers sound quite appealing, with key resistance levels at 98,600 to 107,000, and strong resistance at 112,500. I looked at it for a long time, and the most insightful comment was actually "the market complexity is relatively high during this process."
What does high complexity mean? It means high uncertainty and many risk points. Over the years, I’ve stepped into too many pits, and what I fear most is when a bunch of people are all bullish — that’s

#美联储降息 Trump plans to replace the Federal Reserve Chair, and the new appointee advocates for significant rate cuts—this signal is very critical. I have seen too many people get overly excited about such policy expectations, only to dive headfirst into various "rate cut benefits" projects, and by the time they realize it, they’ve been completely wiped out.
The rate cut cycle indeed releases liquidity, but the problem is: retail investors are always the last to know this news. Institutions and big players have already made their arrangements long before the public hears about it. When the media

#稳定币市场竞争与发展 Seeing Galaxy predict that stablecoin trading volume will surpass the US ACH system by 2026, I am reminded of the experiences of being exploited in this space over the years. The stablecoin market is about to heat up, and it seems like a big opportunity, but this is precisely the area where it's easiest to get caught in pitfalls.
I have seen too many people stumble in the stablecoin ecosystem—either project teams run away or they get caught up in some "high-yield" lending protocol, only to find liquidity drying up. Stablecoins themselves are not the problem; the issue lies in the

#AI与加密货币结合 When I saw this news, my first reaction was—here we go again.
I've seen too many investment booms in the AI field, and each time it's the same pattern: capital rushing in wildly, but the business models are still in the exploratory stage. Now, the issues pointed out by QCP Capital hit the nail on the head—revenue growth can't keep up with the pace of investment. This isn't a low-probability event; it's something that will inevitably happen.
The key is, once this lag becomes apparent, the risks are no longer limited to the AI sector. If by 2026 there is a widespread revaluation of s

#加密货币监管政策 Seeing that the CLARITY Act will be debated in the Senate as early as January, honestly, this is a double-edged sword for retail investors.
Clearer regulation is of course a good thing — at least it can force those projects that hide behind innovation to come into the sunlight. With the SEC and CFTC responsibilities clarified, there will be fewer ambiguous excuses like "who should we listen to." But what does this mean? It means the era of wild growth is truly coming to an end.
I've seen too many people get drawn into various "legal gray area" projects when regulations are unclear —

#稳定币竞争与发展 Seeing Luke Gromen's remarks, I have to say that the intuition of old folks is still somewhat reliable. I can understand the short-term bearish logic on Bitcoin, but what makes me more cautious is his emphasis on Tether's movements—this is the real signal worth studying.
Remember the chaos of stablecoin projects a few years ago? All kinds of sham collateral and flashy mechanism designs, and in the end, most users lost everything. Now, looking at Tether investing in AI and gold, with gold holdings surpassing Bitcoin, the underlying logic is very clear: **core assets are quietly shift

#价格分析预测 Seeing this wave of analysis, I must calmly remind everyone: $2772 support, $1800-2000 expected decline—these data points are easily interpreted as "a buying opportunity." I used to think the same way, but ended up getting cut badly.
The key is to recognize a fact—analysts' "reasonable entry points" are often not the same as retail investors' actual entry points. They say there will be a dip in the first half of 2026, sounding very professional, but how many people start buying the dip right now because of that? The result is often that their mentality is worn down before the price ev

#比特币价格走势 Seeing Citibank's forecast of $143,000, I need to calm down and think it through carefully. Going from $88,000 to $143,000, a 62% increase, is indeed tempting, but there are many nuances involved.
I've seen many institutional predictions like this—last year was also full of claims like "breaking $100,000 within the year," but everyone knows how that turned out. The key point is that Citibank itself provided three forecast ranges: $78,500 to $189,000, which is such a wide span that it’s almost meaningless. This precisely illustrates how high the market uncertainty is.
I noticed they e

#AI与加密货币结合 Seeing Bitcoin hold the $84,000 support level, I actually become more cautious. One detail in this market cycle that’s particularly worth noting is the AI bubble.
The CEO of Tether’s statement sounds like reassurance, saying "we won’t see an 80% crash again," but the problem lies precisely here: Bitcoin’s correlation with tech stocks and AI concepts is increasing. In other words, if the AI bubble bursts, Bitcoin will find it hard to remain unaffected. I’ve seen too many scenarios like this back in 2018—fundamentals seemed decent on the surface, but an external shock caused everythi

#稳定币市场竞争 Seeing Tether launch the PearPass tool, I have to say—this is something that should have been done a long time ago.
Over the years on the chain, I’ve seen too many people suffer severe losses due to poor password management. Traditional cloud password managers sound secure, but in reality, they just put all your eggs in one basket. As soon as the server gets attacked, the entire account system is compromised. Several experienced players I know have been burned this way.
PearPass uses end-to-end encryption and P2P synchronization, keeping data entirely local. This approach is indeed s

#RWA代币化 After reading the 2026 roadmap of Aave's founder, I have to be honest — this guy's ambition in the RWA space truly blew me away.
Horizon aims to grow from $550 million to over $1 billion, with the goal of tokenizing all traditional financial assets like stocks, ETFs, real estate, and bonds on the blockchain. It sounds grand, but I must warn you: this is precisely the area most vulnerable to being swept for retail investors.
Having gone through countless rounds of FOMO, I’ve learned a hard rule — when a certain sector is suddenly hyped up to the skies, it’s often a sign that the harves

#加密货币监管 Seeing this wave of comments, I need to calmly pour some cold water. Yi Lihua said that now is the best spot investment period and there will be great benefits next year—I've heard this kind of talk too many times, each time accompanied by the motivational phrase "endure a few hundred dollars of volatility for a few thousand dollars of returns."
The problem is, these words are often spoken when market sentiment is at its highest. Cryptocurrency policies, interest rate cuts and liquidity injections, and financial on-chain activities are indeed long-term positives, but don't overlook on

#日本央行加息政策 Seeing Arthur Hayes's assertion, I was reminded of a pitfall I fell into a few years ago. Back then, I was also captivated by the predictions of big influencers—claims like prices will definitely rise to a certain level, or policies will definitely turn out a certain way—only to find the market often moves in the opposite direction.
The idea of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates seems logically clear on the surface: rate hike → yen appreciation → dollar depreciation → Bitcoin as a hedge asset rises. But there's a problem we tend to overlook: this logic assumes the market will