GM,
Some soul searching, in the soul train.
Have a great weekend everyone 🙏

Ready for another +3-5% rally on $Gold ?

GM,
Big difference between someone who is bearish because Price dictates him to do so and a doomer, but people are too emotional on this app to see the difference.
Anyway, looks like $DXY found a local top + a nice potential structure confirms this, enable notifications for a full indepth explanation later 🫡
P.S: let me help the usual replyguys, even though DXY looks weak, I'm still bearish on Bitcoin as long as it sits under 108/110k area on weekly close, so save your breath with the snarky replies, I know I have free real estate in your minds :D.

Weekly Bearish Adam and Eve Pattern on $BTC
GM,
As promised yesterday, here is what I found on Bitcoin's weekly chart after the last few weeks of Price Action.
Before we move forward, and for the usual replyguys suspects, here are some lessons:
1. Most important thing: this pattern is POTENTIAL for now. This means it is not yet confirmed, and the confirmation comes only IF we close on the weekly under the $74,000 Neckline area and continue under it.
2. As any experienced trader, I have a confirmation level/area as well as an invalidation one. So, this potential Bearish Adam & Eve Pattern has t

The more you fight the trend, the more lessons the market will serve you.
The more of those lessons you have to take, the bitterer they will be.
“Amateurs want to be right. Professionals want to make money.” Alan Greenspan

Bulls vs Bears Bitcoin Q4 2025 edition
These are the current fundamentals:
1. DXY is weak
2. Fed will continue to cut & stop QT
3. VIX weak, not on an upward path
4. US Indexes look strong, still close to a new ATH
5. BKX + KRE (US banks look good also close to ATH)
6. HangSeng + Nikkei look strong
7. No stress from US credit markets (BofA)
8. Tether still printing
If you are a Bull the things above should give you hope.
But if you are a Bear, you can also raise the question: how come we had & have these narratives and Bitcoin / crypto is bleeding continuously for the past 2 months?
Is

87% expectations for a 25bps cut in December according to @Polymarket
But are you prepared for the scenario where Fed doesn't cut?
Two weeks till FOMC and the U.S 3months yields are not convicted yet.
GM and have a wonderful weekend.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! 🦃
Grateful for another year of charts, trades, late-night sessions and macro madness.
Whether you’re in $BTC, looking for the next play in alts, or fading the herd, remember: gratitude is also alpha.
Stay humble, or else MisterMarket will serve you a bitter humble pie, not a pumpkin pie!

First major resistance for $BTC
92/96k area is the first major milestone since this last drop started.
If bulls mean business, they want this SUPPLY area to be flipped to daily and weekly support fast.
Till that happens, I will short every rejection from his area.

Many think that we are still bullish on Bitcoin.
What if I tell you there is a high probability that $BTC will not go above 110k this year ?
And even if it did, but didn't continue higher, that would be a weekly LowerHigh.
These last weeks of Price Action got many confused.

Technical analysis works only if you’re bullish
GM,
According to CT, charts and TA are valid and likeable only if you’re a perma.
Since I flipped neutral at 98k and bearish at 92k, Bitcoin dropped 18k and tapped the 80k area.
I have an invalidation level above which I’ll flip bullish again if price reclaims it (that’s what experienced traders do), but to the downside, it seems I get laughed at when I ask about that level.
I also noticed I started losing followers since Price dictated to flip bearish on the weekly: lesson in there.

First weekly Low on $BTC after 22 months
GM,
Since January 2024, Bitcoin has been printing this weekly Higher Highs and Higher Lows sequence.
Yesterday we had the first new weekly low, invalidating the previous potential Higher Low at the 92k area.
As long as the 92k area holds as weekly resistance, 80k and extended to 74/76k are the next potential targets.
Don't know if it's the beginning of a bear market by old standards, I'm just bearish on the weekly chart for the first time in a long while.
If/when something changes in the weekly structure I will do my best to adapt. Until then, I'm beari

Welcome to a new episode of $BTC clout chasers
Clout traders obsess over calling tops and bottoms, while experienced traders focus on catching the meat of the move.
Last bearmarket I didn't flip bullish on Bitcoin at 14, 16 or 18k, so I missed the bottom, but I flipped bullish at 21k and been bullish since.
This bullrun I didn't flip bearish on Bitcoin at 125, 116 or 108k, so I missed the top, but I flipped bearish at 92k and will be bearish for now.
Reactive > predictive 🫡

GM,
FED will not cut in December unless something major changes.