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A regional Fed official just dropped some hawkish hints that might matter for risk assets. The policymaker noted that current rates are approaching neutral territory—basically suggesting we're close to the sweet spot where policy neither stimulates nor restricts growth.
Here's the kicker: with inflation still running hotter than the 2% target, there's growing hesitation about aggressive easing. Another Fed voice recently echoed similar concerns, pointing out that financial conditions have already loosened considerably. Those recent rate cuts? Described as "insurance" moves rather than the start of a prolonged cutting cycle.
What this means: the threshold for another December rate reduction looks pretty elevated right now. Markets pricing in easy money might need to recalibrate expectations. Tighter-than-expected monetary policy typically pressures speculative assets, so worth watching how this rhetoric evolves into actual decisions.