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Take the prediction market from "only betting on numbers and hard events"
Upgraded to "How the betting world tells stories."
This is the real onchain speculation 2.0.
Are you ready to place your first "emotion bet"?
The prediction market has been stuck on the same old problem:
As long as the results are a bit subjective, no one dares to open the market, nor does anyone dare to settle.
For example——
"Will Trump publicly admit that the 2020 election was stolen in 2025?"
"Can the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas last until 2026?"
"Will Taylor Swift's next album be a breakup album?"
These issues cannot be raised on Polymarket or Augur.
Because no one on the chain can objectively determine the result 100%.
The oracle explodes immediately when it touches the subjective.
GenLayer directly resolved this deadlock.
It uses Intelligent Consensus.
——a group of dedicated LLM nodes——
Replaces the traditional "minority obeys the majority"
or "Collateral Token Voting."
These nodes not only look at the data:
can still read news, watch videos, understand context, and judge sarcasm,
Even understand the subtext of political figures.
After the determination is complete, they must write out the complete reasoning process,
On-chain public, anyone can challenge.
If the challenge is successful, the node will be penalized.
Take a real-life scenario:
Market Title:
"Will Elon Musk publicly say on X before the end of 2025?"
'Grok 4 has already reached AGI'?
The results of traditional chains are always stuck at:
"Unable to define AGI"
"Does it count as being publicly said?"
And GenLayer will allow LLM nodes:
Translate all his tweets
Check the interview, Space recording
See if there are any keywords used.
Determine whether the tone is serious.
Is there any follow-up clarification?
Finally, provide a ruling with evidence.
The entire process is transparent, on-chain, and can be appealed.
This directly unlocks a bunch of markets that were previously untouchable:
Celebrity relationships (whether they have broken up or if it's real or fake)
Geopolitical narratives (whether a certain country is "secretly supporting" the other side)
Cultural phenomenon (does a certain drama count as "rushed ending")
Pure meme prediction ("Will the Doge designer be turned into an AI drawing?")
@GenLayer