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Tonight's probability of a rate cut has already been set at 88%, leaving little room for doubt, and last night's price reflected this. However, it is important to note that there is almost no expectation of a rate cut in January; if a cut happens, it might not occur until March. Therefore, the gap in between remains very risky, giving shorts a three-month window to cause chaos.
If this rate cut is again a hawkish cut, there is a high probability of a correction, especially since there are no rate cut expectations in January.
The current market is quite difficult, with liquidity tightening, entirely driven by expectations of rate cuts. Each month without a cut could potentially trigger a sharp decline, forcing the Federal Reserve to implement QE and continue cutting rates. Last night, BTC was so strong but still didn't break through 95,000. It seems that tonight's landing might be unfavorable, so everyone should be cautious. $BTC
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