Recent US economic data has been released—GDP growth rate surged to 4.2% quarter-over-quarter, completely exceeding expectations. Logically, such positive news should have triggered a market rally long ago. So why? The market is showing no signs of improvement, and there’s even a slight downward trend.



Some blame Wall Street elites, believing their thinking is flawed. Specifically, many speculate that the unusual market reaction is due to the Federal Reserve contemplating interest rate hikes to curb inflation. This expectation alone has caused widespread anxiety in the market. As a result, some are directly calling on the new Fed Chair to avoid disrupting the market. Since the economic situation is so strong, they argue, interest rate cuts should be considered to restore the basic logic—positive factors push prices up, negative factors push prices down.

From another perspective, economic growth itself doesn’t automatically generate inflation; the real issue lies in policy. Inflation doesn’t need to be actively fought; it will self-correct over time. If we compare it to inflation, we should wait until the economy fully takes off before making judgments. Based on current momentum, this round of economic growth could boost GDP by 10 to 20 percentage points within a year—such potential must not be wasted. The key is to prevent those "armchair strategies" from disrupting the optimal moment for economic takeoff.

For the crypto market, the underlying logic behind this discussion is crucial: the market’s reaction actually reflects uncertainty about policy expectations. When policy signals are clear and liquidity expectations are stable, that’s when crypto assets truly perform.
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wrekt_but_learningvip
· 22h ago
Basically, it's the ghost of policy expectations causing trouble; positive data are all useless.
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WinterWarmthCatvip
· 22h ago
Basically, the market is waiting for Powell to make a statement. If the signals are unclear, who dares to get on board? Policy expectations can truly determine life or death, even more than fundamentals. So what if GDP is good? Once the rate hike expectations emerge, everything becomes pointless. We in the crypto world understand this best. Wait until liquidity stabilizes before entering the market—that's the rule.
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AirdropHarvestervip
· 22h ago
Basically, it's the curse of policy expectations; good data can't save the day. Wall Street folks have long seen through it—cutting interest rates is the real way to go. No matter how high GDP is, it’s useless; liquidity is king. Wait a minute, this logic is a bit all over the place. Inflation will settle itself? Just listen to the Federal Reserve, haha. The key is to see how Powell speaks; once the policy signals are clear, the crypto market will rise.
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GmGnSleepervip
· 22h ago
In simple terms, policy expectations have messed everything up; good data is useless. The Fed's recent actions are really disgusting. Clearly, the economy is taking off, so let it fly, instead of insisting on rate hike expectations. Liquidity needs to stabilize before crypto can rise. Who dares to move now? Wall Street is always thinking one step ahead of retail investors. We're just eating dust. GDP at 4.2% but no reaction. Isn't this a living example of policy uncertainty? Instead of guessing about rate hikes, it's better to cut rates directly, allowing the market to return to the purest logic. Inflation will settle on its own; no need to fuss. It's that simple.
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unrekt.ethvip
· 22h ago
In simple terms, it's the policy expectations that have blown up the market; a good GDP doesn't matter. Once the rate hike expectations emerge, people's confidence disperses, and falsehoods abound. Liquidity is the key, everyone. The new Federal Reserve Chair needs to figure out what they're doing; don't cause trouble for no reason. Wait, are those Wall Street elites really unable to understand the market or just pretending not to? Inflation can be managed by calming down; why actively provoke trouble? For crypto, it's straightforward—uncertain policies and unstable liquidity, even the best news is just a bluff. A 4.2% growth rate didn't stir any waves; the underlying logic is simply this: the market is betting on policy. What about the potential for GDP to grow by ten or twenty percentage points? Don't let those theoretical ideas ruin it. Honestly, this move is a bit outrageous; the economy is doing so well, yet it's heading downward—classic policy expectation kill.
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