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Recent market trends show short-term rebound fatigue, but the downside is also limited. You can consider two approaches.
For shorting, wait until the price rebounds to around 2960–2970 (near MA5). Once signs of stagnation appear—such as a prominent upper shadow or shrinking volume—you can consider entering the market. Set the stop loss at 3020 (above MA20), with risk controlled at about 3%. The target is directly at the support level of 2870, with an expected return of around 3%.
Conversely, if you want to go long, there are also opportunities. If the price retraces to the support zone of 2886–2890, and volume increases while the candlestick stabilizes, you can try a small long position. Place the stop loss at 2850 (below the lower Bollinger Band), also with about 3% risk. In this case, the upward target is near 3030 (around MA20), with an expected profit of 5%.
The key is to combine volume and technical patterns to make judgments—avoid blindly bottom-fishing or chasing highs.