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Federal Reserve January Interest Rate Outlook: 83% Probability of Holding Steady
【区块律动】根据CME美联储观察工具的最新数据显示,市场对美联储1月政策方向的预期已经相当明确。降息25个基点的概率仅为16.6%,而维持利率在当前水平的概率则高达83.4%。这意味着联邦基金利率短期内保持稳定的可能性远超预期。对加密资产市场来说,这种政策预期的稳定性会直接影响机构资金的配置策略。利率预期的明确化往往会减少短期政策不确定性带来的波动,为市场参与者提供更清晰的决策参考。