2026-01-04 07:22:44

The growth of prediction market platforms is remarkable, but there are numerous significant challenges surrounding the operation of major services like Polymarket, Space, and Kalsi that cannot be overlooked.

First, the regulatory hurdles are high. Depending on the legal systems of different countries, many platforms are considered equivalent to gambling, making compliance difficult. Japan is also one of the countries with strict regulations, and user access continues to be restricted.

Furthermore, liquidity issues cannot be ignored. In the early stages when the market is not fully mature, trading volume and the number of participants are limited, and spreads tend to widen. This creates barriers to entry for users and hampers the overall growth of the ecosystem.

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TideReceder

· 01-07 07:22

Regulation is really a killer, especially over in Japan... it's directly locked down. Liquidity is the bigger issue, with such a wide spread, who would play? This thing will eventually need to address compliance issues, or all the hype is pointless. Prediction markets have potential, but right now there are too many bottlenecks. Regulation, liquidity... none of them can be bypassed. The key is that there aren't enough participants; it's a chicken and egg situation.

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CryingOldWallet

· 01-06 13:42

It's really impossible to play over in Japan due to strict restrictions.

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DeFiDoctor

· 01-04 07:46

The consultation records show that the predicted market needs treatment. The liquidity indicators are heartbreaking, and regulatory complications are even more challenging.

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MEVHunter_9000

· 01-04 07:39

Regulation really stifled prediction markets, Japan is even more extreme... --- Liquidity is so poor it's exploding, spreads are ridiculously wide, no wonder no one is playing --- Polymarket is now caught between regulation and liquidity, unable to enjoy it --- Feels like prediction markets are still too early, let's wait and see --- Japan's regulatory attitude is truly extreme; at this rate, it will never die but also won't thrive --- Liquidity is the core issue; without depth, any discussion is pointless

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CoffeeOnChain