#数字资产动态追踪 When a contract goes long, it drops; when it goes short, it rises? There's actually nothing mysterious behind this—it's mostly because you're placing orders based purely on feelings, without a proper trading plan. In other words, if you lose, you lose to whom?

I'm 39 years old myself. I started in the crypto space at 31. By 2024-2025, my capital has reached eight figures. It's quite realistic to say that earning this amount of money relies on a set of the "dumbest" methods—yet this method has a win rate close to 99.99%.

**Fund Management is the First Line of Defense**

Divide your principal into 5 parts, and only trade with one part at a time. Set a stop loss at 10 points, so even if you're wrong, the single loss only accounts for 2% of your total funds. Even if you are wrong 5 times in a row, the total loss is only 10%. Conversely, once your judgment is correct, set a take profit target of more than 10 points. With this setup, will you still get caught in deep traps? This method is especially stable for mainstream coins like $BNB.

**Following the Trend is Key to Increasing Win Rate**

Want to level up? Two words—follow the trend. In a downtrend, every rebound is an attempt to lure longs; in an uptrend, every pullback is "digging a golden pit." Do you think it's easier to make money by bottom fishing or by buying low in an uptrend? The answer is obvious. Take $XRP as an example: during a main upward wave, buying on dips is much more effective than blindly bottom fishing.

**Don't Chase Short-Term Explosive Coins**

Whether it's mainstream coins or altcoins, those that can run several main upward waves in a row are inherently scarce. After a short-term crazy surge, the probability of continuing to rise sharply is actually very low. When the price reaches a high level and starts to stagnate, it can't be pushed higher, and a decline becomes a natural result. The logic is simple, but many still want to gamble, and end up getting trapped.

**Technical Indicators Help You Precisely Identify Entry Points**

MACD is a good reference tool. When the DIF line and DEA line both form a golden cross below the zero line and break above zero, that's a relatively solid entry signal. Conversely, if MACD forms a death cross above zero and moves downward, it's time to consider reducing your position.

Volume and price action are also crucial. A volume breakout at a low consolidation zone warrants close attention; but if there's a volume surge at a high level with stagnation, you should decisively exit—don't hesitate. This is one of the core logics of trading in the crypto space.

**Only Focus on Coins in an Uptrend**

Focusing on upward trends gives you the highest win rate and the lowest time cost. When the 3-day moving average turns upward, it indicates short-term bullishness; a 30-day moving average turning upward signals mid-term strength; an 84-day moving average turning upward means the main upward wave has started; and a 120-day moving average turning upward indicates a long-term opportunity. Judging based on different cycle moving averages can help you avoid many detours.

**Regular Review is an Essential Step for Advancement**

Review your holdings weekly. Check whether your logic for holding each coin still holds, whether the technical analysis from the weekly chart still aligns with your previous judgment, and whether the trend direction has changed. Adjust your trading strategy promptly—this is the key to long-term stable profits.

Overall, trading crypto has no shortcuts. Strictly follow trading discipline, manage funds and risks well, and follow the trend. Don't think about getting rich overnight; stick to your plan, and the profits will come naturally.