2026-01-06 15:21:29

There was a time I expressed a view: "Stop fooling yourself, at the end of the day, it's just about gambling." At that time, I saw people adding more when ETH was at 3100, 3200, and I actually felt a bit of mockery in my heart.

Now, looking back from this height, I realize what it means to shoot yourself in the foot.

What are the bulls gambling on? They are betting that this upward trend will continue. As for me? I am betting that human nature will become greedier to the extreme, and then a reversal will cause everything to collapse. It sounds logically clear, but in execution? I became another kind of gambler, just with bigger stakes.

Tonight's K-line trend gave me an answer—the trend won. That trap I thought I could catch the top in, in the end, it caught my own leg.

This is the dark humor of the market. It doesn't reason with you; it only teaches you a lesson with real money: when you're analyzing market depth, the market is also watching the little money in your account that you can use to buy the dip. The momentum after this tells me that reading the trend is far more practical than trying to see through human nature.

ETH0.76%

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MetaverseMortgage

· 01-09 14:15

Haha, laughing to death. When criticizing others for gambling, you gamble even more fiercely yourself. This is what you call giving yourself a lesson.

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CodeSmellHunter

· 01-09 12:53

Damn, this is what you call being too clever for your own good, haha

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SchroedingerGas

· 01-06 15:51

Haha, isn't this just me? Analyzing human greed every day, only to be harshly taught a lesson by the market. They're all the same gamblers, just with different ways of losing. In the face of trends, all intelligence is useless.

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Token_Sherpa

· 01-06 15:49

ngl, the whole "i'm smarter than the greedy masses" playbook never ages well. dude went from armchair analyst to just another degen with bigger losses, lmao. trend > psychology, always has been.

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governance_lurker

· 01-06 15:45

This is what you call being too clever by half, I laughed haha

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OnchainHolmes

· 01-06 15:44

Damn, this is me—an example of how being too clever can backfire.

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0xDreamChaser

· 01-06 15:41

Laughing out loud, mocking others as gamblers, only to realize that your own bets are even bigger—this is what you call karma.

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GhostAddressMiner

· 01-06 15:34

Haha, this is the moment when the difference between on-chain players and gamblers is smoothed out. I looked through the raw address data around 3100, and the migration patterns of those early coin-holding wallets have already been signaling, but who listens... Seeing through human nature sounds nice, but in reality, it's just gambling that you're smarter than the market, and this bet is the most money-burning.

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ServantOfSatoshi

· 01-06 15:29

Same old story, thinking they've seen through greed, only to end up being even more greedy themselves.

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