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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96%, according to CME's "Fed Watch". The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged until August is 80.1%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 19.2% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 0.7%.
(from Jinshi Data App)