# 𝐅𝐄𝐃

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Fed July Decision Most Uncertain Meeting in Years ✨
Federal Reserve July 28 29 meeting has become most uncertain policy decision in nearly two years with markets sharply divided over whether Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver 25 basis point rate hike or hold steady.
The Numbers
🔹 Fed funds futures currently price roughly 62 to 68 percent probability of hold leaving 32 to 38 percent chance of hike to 3.75 percent to 4.00 percent range
🔹 Just two weeks ago hike odds were near zero
🔹 Kalshi traders see 76 percent chance of hold
Why Odds Have Shifted
🔹 Hawkish Case Brent crude surged r
KALSHI-5.74%
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HelalChowdhury:
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