DropToZeroDon'tCry

Start of the Year January Outlook: Is the Christmas rally continuing into the new year?
In the first two trading days before New Year’s Day, the market performance was not good:
‍#美股 Slight pullback, BTC remains volatile, sentiment is cautious.
But last weekend’s swift action by the US against Venezuela clearly changed the market’s risk pricing.
As analyzed in yesterday’s tweet—
Quick decisive action and reducing uncertainty are positive for risk assets.
To put it simply, global funds’ confidence in “US assets” ultimately depends on national strength and execution capability.
This move also s

The investment logic of Chinese and American companies has completely diverged.
If you look at the top companies by market value in China and the US together, you'll find a very harsh reality:
They are no longer on the same growth trajectory.
🇨🇳 China: Scale-driven, stock-based, cash flow logic
Leading Chinese companies still mainly focus on:
Banks
Energy
Telecommunications
Traditional finance and infrastructure
The only common feature is:
Massive revenue, but very low growth.
Except for China Mobile, which can still maintain around 7% growth,
the rest are growing at less than 3%, with some

#Jupiter Spent 70 million USD on buybacks, yet the token price still dropped to 0.2. What does this indicate?
‍#Solana The largest DEX aggregator Jupiter,
spent 70 million USD on token buybacks last year.
And the result?
The price should have stabilized or risen, but instead, it kept falling all the way to 0.2.
Yesterday, Jupiter co-founder Siong Ong directly revealed on Twitter:
"We spent 70 million USD on buybacks last year, but the token price clearly didn't increase much.
Can we instead use that 70 million USD to grow our user base?"
One sentence, exposing the collective superstition in th

#委内瑞拉 Event, what does it mean for the US risk markets?
The US directly arrested President Maduro and his wife in Venezuela, and this incident has quickly fermented worldwide. The reactions from China and Russia have been widely observed. Here, we won't delve into international geopolitics, but focus on one thing:
👉 Is this event truly negative for US risk assets?
1. Trump’s Political Risk: The Biggest Variable
Based on current public information, Trump not only acknowledged the arrest operation but also further stated—
The US will "temporarily operate in Venezuela" until a political transiti

🔥 "#BTC OG Insider Whale" Successfully Turns the Tide
On January 4th, as the market rebounded, this closely watched BTC OG insider whale completely offset its unrealized losses and successfully turned profitable.
📊 Current Position Overview:
Total Position Size: approximately $798 million
Overall Unrealized Profit: +$1.33 million
🔍 Position Breakdown:
ETH Long Positions: 203,340 units, still unrealized loss of $300,000
BTC Long Positions: 1,000 units, unrealized loss of $350,000
SOL Long Positions: 511,612.85 units, unrealized profit up to $1.98 million (main profit source)
💡 Key Signal In

Starting from first principles: Why #AI Trading should not predict price movements
1. Breaking down AI: What are large models really doing?
Many people consider large models as "thinking black boxes," but from a computational perspective, they do only one thing:
Calculate similarity in high-dimensional vector space.
All inputs (#token , images, time series) are mapped into vectors;
All "understanding" and "reasoning" are essentially vector dot products + nonlinear transformations.
The core of Transformer is not "intelligence," but:
Compress inputs into vectors
Compute similarities between vect