BTC bull market peaked at 126k, then the market entered a bear market. Starting from the bottom at 154K in November 2022, BTC's cycle period is now 4 years. Many believe that this round of correction will be broken, and the market will quickly enter the next bull phase. My view is that this scenario is impossible. Whether from wave theory structure analysis or technical indicator adjustments, a large cycle structural adjustment cannot be completed in just three or two months; it will take at least half a year to a year. Based on chip distribution, the market has experienced a process of bottom

This week is the week with the most uncertainty factors, which may cause sharp fluctuations during trading. Structurally, the current adjustment is normal, and after the Japanese interest rate hike policy is announced on the 19th, the market will continue to move upward. The large B-wave rebound pattern of BTC at 80K has not yet ended. Structurally, it is in a complex structure, currently only in the adjustment phase within the structure. The end time is around the 19th (there will be a final dip on the 19th), with the extreme adjustment target near 83,500. After the adjustment ends, it will c

Asian-Pacific stock markets declined across the board, following the downturn of US stocks last Friday. The Shanghai Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by similar margins, while the Hang Seng Index and Nasdaq declined accordingly. However, gold and US stock futures rose during Asian trading hours, and the dollar weakened—indicating that the selling pressure triggered last Friday by hawkish Fed officials' remarks has eased, and the market will soon shift focus to non-farm payroll data. The decline in Asia-Pacific markets does not signify a new wave of panic but is a "passive alignm

The market hit a low of 87564 early in the session and then began a strong rebound. The overall market's large B-wave rebound structure is developing into a complex pattern. This week, many factors are affecting the market, including economic data and monetary policies, especially Japan's interest rate hikes, which will cause significant volatility and restrict upward space. For this rebound to be strong and sustainable, it must break and stabilize above 91117 to open up further upward potential; otherwise, the market will continue to fluctuate sharply below that level. In the short term, as l

Next week will be a week of snow and wind. The financial markets will see speeches from Federal Reserve officials and major economic data releases. First, non-farm payrolls and CPI will be announced in the same week, a historic first. This week, the market is not waiting for the “results,” but for “which story can survive.” On Tuesday, the US October and November non-farm employment data will be released, which will set the tone for market expectations of rate cuts in January next year. If the data is surprisingly poor, the probability of rate cuts could quickly rise above 50%, giving the mark

BlockBeats News, December 13 — Coinbase Institutional announced on social media that the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week aligns with market expectations. However, the plan to implement treasury reserve management purchases over the next 30 days can be seen as a positive signal. The specific details of the plan are as follows:
- Initial operation scale: $40 billion
- Launch date: December 12
This liquidity injection came earlier than expected, and reserve growth may continue until April 2026. We believe that the Federal Reserve's shift from balance

Tonight, the most anticipated interest rate cut decision of the year by the Federal Reserve will be announced.
The market widely expects a rate cut almost a certainty. But what really determines the trajectory of risk assets in the coming months is not a further 25 basis point cut, but a more critical variable: whether the Federal Reserve will re-inject liquidity into the market.
Therefore, this time, Wall Street is watching not the interest rate, but the balance sheet.
According to expectations from institutions such as US Bank, Vanguard, and PineBridge, the Federal Reserve may announce this

The third major wave of Wave B repeated the short squeeze trend again last night as analyzed. The trend and structure of Elliott Wave Theory guide you when you feel lost. The essence of Elliott Wave Theory: foreseeing the future.

The recent large market fluctuations have left many people lost, making it difficult for both bulls and bears, with people getting trapped by chasing highs and selling lows. The market has entered the final stage of the major B wave rebound. The purpose of the market is to obscure direction so it can trap you again, just like the last short squeeze before 126K. Now, the idea that we are in a bear market has taken root in most people's minds. Everyone wants to escape during the rally, but it's not that easy to get out. How to set the trap is an art in itself. Year after year, the flowers look s

BlockBeats news, on December 8, Wall Street institution Bernstein pointed out in its latest analysis report: "Given the recent market correction, we believe the Bitcoin cycle has broken the four-year pattern (i.e., a peak every four years), and is now entering an extended bull cycle, with more persistent institutional buying offsetting any panic retail selling. Although Bitcoin has pulled back about 30%, we have observed that outflows through ETFs account for less than 5%. Accordingly, we have adjusted our Bitcoin price target for the end of 2026 to $150,000, and expect the peak of this cycle

The market has entered the third major upward wave of the big Wave B rebound, once again verifying the accuracy of the Elliott Wave Theory in predicting future trends (yesterday morning, the Wave Legend livestream clearly informed that the third major upward wave would start on the 4H chart at 8 PM or by 4 AM at the latest). The precision of trend reversal timing cycles is something that no other technical analysis method can predict in advance. The Elliott Wave Theory not only allows for advance prediction of future market trends, but also enables early anticipation of market structure and ti

The market is about to change direction, with the adjustment phase nearing its end. The main rise of the third wave of the major B wave rebound will start no later than early Monday morning. Any bearish factors in the market can only slow down the pace, but they absolutely cannot change the direction of the trend. Just like when the bull market peaked at 126K and entered a bear market, no bullish news (rate cuts, institutions buying, buying, buying) can reverse the downward trend. At the market bottom of 80K, all short-, medium-, and long-term wave structures have completed the major A wave ad

To summarize recent market views: On December 1, due to negative news (Japan's interest rate hike + MicroStrategy's potential future coin sales for survival), BTC plummeted, triggering another wave of panic selling across the entire market. At that time, the Wave Legend subscription group provided a live market analysis with a clear view: this drop was a washout orchestrated by market makers using negative news to shake out weak hands and prepare for the next phase. Subsequent market movements confirmed this judgment—the market bottomed out, and then the main players swiftly pushed prices back

Last night, the market broke through 93000 but couldn't hold above and fell back into a consolidation, which was expected. The correction structure of the minor wave is not complete, and a dip is inevitable. Subscription to the live broadcast has detailed explanations. Today, the market continues to oscillate in the morning, ideally dipping to the previous low around 90146 to complete the minor wave structure. In the afternoon, a new rising structure will challenge the first target of the big B wave rebound at 98000~100000. To know more about the future market trends, seize the opportunity

Tonight's opening of the U.S. stock market is attracting global attention—it's no exaggeration to say that this will be the longest night of the year. First, after the U.S. stock market closed on Thursday, the market lost its backbone, and global assets generally entered a wait-and-see state. More subtly, traders have clearly realized: the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been pushed to the extreme, and continuing to double down has become dangerous, so they dare not make rash bets—waiting for the U.S. stock market to give new pricing signals. Second, before the U.S. stock

Nick Timiraos of the new Fed press agency has published another article, titled very plainly "Fed Chair Powell's Allies Pave the Way for a December Rate Cut." Three signals: 1. Powell needs "personal authority" to make decisions. The article repeatedly emphasizes: this is the largest internal disagreement in Powell's 8-year tenure, with all contradictions concentrated on this meeting. The final decision-making power has shifted from "committee decision" to "Powell's personal call." Nick's wording is very clear: "the final call rests with Powell" "Powell has to navigate stark di

The market rose from last night's low of 85217 to 89179 in the early session before pulling back. After stabilizing at 87413 by noon, it resumed its rebound. The market is just beginning the major B wave rebound cycle, and after a brief intraday correction, the rebound is expected to continue. The target is 98000~100000, after which a major wave correction can begin. The current stage should focus mainly on long positions, with this wave cycle expected to end around December 5. The major B wave rebound targets for BTC#1终极目标107500, ETH are 3950~4000. The target for this wave for #ETH is 3250~33